The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
South East Melbourne Phoenix 66.4%
Cairns Taipans 33.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
56.1%
43.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.1%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
South East Melbourne Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in South East Melbourne Phoenix's performance.
Cairns Taipans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cairns Taipans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for South East Melbourne Phoenix than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with South East Melbourne Phoenix that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cairns Taipans than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cairns Taipans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
South East Melbourne Phoenix - Cairns Taipans Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 101:95
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
4. Daniels D.
3. Brown J.
5. Glover A.
33. Lewis M.
12. Morin Y.
9. McVeigh J.
99. Schwartz D.
25. Pinder K.
20. Sobey N.
2. Smith R.
Substitutes
7. Aliir A.
43. Bolden J.
8. Biggar E.
22. Brown W.
3. Davidson S.
7. Bruce S.
11. Foster D.
14. Galloway K.
1. Hunter J.
1. McVeigh L.
13. Krebs T.
10. Paul L.
9. Mays S.
19. Yates L.
2. Ryan P.
Coaches
. King J.
. Forde A.
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 9th and 5th in the Promotion - NBL Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South East Melbourne won 5.
Recent results have been tough for South East Melbourne (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Taipans have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Taipans could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Taipans has had a run of games away from home.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, South East Melbourne has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1877:1720 (averaging 93.9:86 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for South East Melbourne against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 960:827 goals (averaging 96:82.7 per game).
Australia
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Daniels D. 
Brown J. 
Lewis M. 
Morin Y. 
Brown W. 
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