Match Info

Korisliiga - Winners stage - Round 24

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Toolo Sports Hall (Helsinki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Helsinki Seagulls		Korihait

	1	2
	1.28	3.4
	1.36	3.08
	1.3	3.2	Watch
	1.33	3
	1.32	3.24
	1.26	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.33)	3.24 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Helsinki Seagulls
71.2%

Korihait
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

39.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Helsinki Seagulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Korihait has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Helsinki Seagulls than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Helsinki Seagulls that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korihait than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Korihait could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Helsinki Seagulls - Korihait Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Henry J.	50. Aalto M.
55. Keeling C.	20. Champion F.
3. Ross K.	21. Goracke B.
4. Rougeau R. (C)	7. Sarcevic B. (C)
47. Waxlax R.	10. Tahvanainen V.
Substitutes
0. Chukwuma C.	6. Ahvenjarvi R.
10. Heinonen O.	11. Eklund L.
25. Hervola L.	13. Harris J.
16. Kaivos J.	8. Herrala J.
40. Kilpinen J.	40. Jackson J.
5. Leskinen E.	16. Laihonen M.
2. Niemi T.
Coaches
. Saukkola T.	. Ivanovic I.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Helsinki Seagulls won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Helsinki Seagulls may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Helsinki Seagulls is a strong favorite.

We predict that Helsinki Seagulls will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Helsinki Seagulls won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1901:1484. (average 95.1:74.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Helsinki Seagulls won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 977:710. (average 97.7:71).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Helsinki Seagulls	4	2	2	310:316	4
11	UU-Korihait Uusikaupunki	3	1	2	262:271	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Helsinki Seagulls
Finnish Korisliiga
30.01.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Espoon Honka	98:82 ✺
24.01.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Helsinki Seagulls	79:74 ✺
20.01.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Salon Vilpas	84:81 ✺
15.01.26	Espoon Honka - Helsinki Seagulls	100:87 ✺
09.01.26	Helsinki Seagulls - Bisons Loimaa	85:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW
- Korihait
Finnish Korisliiga
31.01.26	Korihait - Salon Vilpas	73:83 ✺
25.01.26	KTP Kotka Basket - Korihait	108:107 OT ✺
21.01.26	Korihait - Lahti Basketball	106:94 ✺
14.01.26	Kauhajoen Karhu - Korihait	97:90 OT ✺
10.01.26	Korihait - Salon Vilpas	104:98 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga
21.12.25	Korihait - Helsinki Seagulls	92:76
17.10.25	Helsinki Seagulls - Korihait	95:62
08.03.25	Helsinki Seagulls - Korihait	85:81
01.02.25	Korihait - Helsinki Seagulls	76:97
17.12.24	Helsinki Seagulls - Korihait	91:79
16.10.24	Korihait - Helsinki Seagulls	58:97
22.03.24	Helsinki Seagulls - Korihait	100:64

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