Match Info

HLA - Round 22

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Ferlach		Bärnbach Köflach

	1	X	2
	1.5	9.2	3.05
	1.53	7.76	3.15	Watch
	1.58	9	2.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↑ (1.39)	8.65 ↑ (7.72)	3.04 ↓ (3.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 55.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferlach
59.4%

Draw
10.6%

Bärnbach Köflach
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

11.6%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.6%

12.1%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferlach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Bärnbach Köflach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bärnbach Köflach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferlach than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bärnbach Köflach than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Ferlach - Bärnbach Köflach Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:27

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferlach won 2.

In recent matches, Ferlach has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bärnbach Köflach is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ferlach is the team to beat.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Ferlach won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 478:449. (average 26.6:24.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferlach won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 250:217. (average 27.8:24.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Ferlach	5	3	2	0	150:137	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Ferlach
Austrian NLA Handball
15.04.26	Linz - Ferlach	34:25 ✺
11.04.26	Ferlach - Fivers Margareten	33:31 ✺
28.03.26	Vöslauer - Ferlach	29:21 ✺
14.03.26	Ferlach - Bregenz	26:25 ✺
07.03.26	HSG Graz - Ferlach	32:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWL
- HSG Bärnbach Köflach
Austrian NLA Handball
15.04.26	Bärnbach Köflach - Alpla Hard	30:28 ✺
11.04.26	Füchse - Bärnbach Köflach	26:26 ✺
28.03.26	Hollabrunn - Bärnbach Köflach	36:35 ✺
14.03.26	Bärnbach Köflach - Linz	19:25 ✺
07.03.26	Fivers Margareten - Bärnbach Köflach	36:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
29.11.25	Bärnbach Köflach - Ferlach	29:25
28.05.25	Bärnbach Köflach - Ferlach	24:29
03.05.25	Ferlach - Bärnbach Köflach	29:30
06.12.24	Ferlach - Bärnbach Köflach	28:24
31.08.24	Bärnbach Köflach - Ferlach	30:24
30.03.24	Ferlach - Bärnbach Köflach	31:23
18.11.23	Bärnbach Köflach - Ferlach	20:28

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