The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Saginaw Spirit 25%
Draw 17.2%
Owen Sound Attack 57.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
19.5%
50.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
19.3%
50.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saginaw Spirit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Saginaw Spirit's form might have worsened.
Owen Sound Attack has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Owen Sound Attack's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (+5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Owen Sound Attack than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Owen Sound Attack, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
63. Shurygin S. (G)
30. Bennett T. (G)
14. Barabanov E.
4. Arnett E.
6. Barch H.
12. Banks J.
72. Barnes B.
25. Bedkowski D. (C)
42. Cloutier J.
16. Crawford J. (A)
15. Gervais S. (A)
15. Dec M.
5. Glavin J. (A)
10. Delisle M.
73. Guo J.
40. Delisle T.
88. Hanrahan R.
23. Greenberg L.
13. Harmer C.
18. Jackman L.
4. Harper L.
21. Mbuyi P. (A)
9. Jones G.
13. Mikus E.
98. Klepov N.
34. Nansi H.
62. Pepoy B.
11. Nelson N. (A)
43. Satan M.
8. Roberts N.
92. Sima N. (A)
2. Rogers B.
21. Storch L.
24. Sykora N.
17. Velliaris X.
22. Wray M.
71. Zhilkin D. (A)
17. Zurawski C.
Substitutes
31. Papineau K. (G)
31. Koprowski M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
05:25, 1 - 0, Harper L. (G), Guo J. (A), Barabanov E. (A2)
16:59, 1 - 1, Sykora N. (G), Zurawski C. (A),
17:40, 1 - 2, Delisle T. (G), Mbuyi P. (A), Bedkowski D. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 0)
02:34, 2 - 2, Cloutier J. (G),
08:35, 3 - 2, Cloutier J. (G), Gervais S. (A), Harmer C. (A2)
18:54, 4 - 2, Cloutier J. (G), Harmer C. (A),
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 5.
Recent form of Saginaw has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Owen has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Saginaw may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Owen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Saginaw won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 83:69. (average 4.2:3.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Saginaw won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 44:35. (average 4.9:3.9).
Last Results with these Odds
Saginaw Spirit - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.22%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Owen Sound Attack - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.26%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.
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Shurygin S. (G) 
Bennett T. (G) 
Barabanov E. 
Gervais S. (A) 
Satan M. 
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