Match Info

AHL

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Location: CAA Arena (Belleville, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Belleville Senators		Manitoba Moose

	1	X	2
	2.05	4	2.7	Watch
	2.19	3.95	2.7
	2.13	4.2	2.77
	2.1	4.26	2.78	Watch
	2.15	4	2.7
	2.12	4.23	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.26)	4.11 ↑ (3.87)	2.74 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Belleville Senators
43.6%

Draw
22.5%

Manitoba Moose
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

23.6%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

25.6%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Belleville Senators has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Manitoba Moose has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belleville Senators than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Belleville Senators that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manitoba Moose than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manitoba Moose could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Belleville Senators - Manitoba Moose Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Merilainen L. (G)	32. Milic T. (G)
58. Bolduc S.	28. Anderson-Dolan J.
16. Boucher T.	47. Anhorn D.
13. Bourgault X.	39. Barlow C.
92. Clarke G.	4. Barteaux D.
4. Crotty C.	19. Chibrikov N.
10. Daoust P.	56. Clague K.
8. Duarte M.	34. Di Giuseppe P. (A)
29. Hamara T.	7. Duehr W.
14. Harrington S. (A)	16. Fagemo S.
42. Hodgson H. (A)	24. Julien J.
43. Kaliyev A.	42. Larochelle S.
21. Kidney R.	3. Phillips I.
15. Lycksell O.	6. Sautner A. (A)
32. Pettersson O.	18. Shaw M. (C)
22. Pilon G. (C)	9. Vitelli R.
19. Rees J.	26. Wagner F.
3. Sedley S.	29. Yager B.
44. Toure D.	48. Yoder C.
Substitutes
40. Sogaard M. (G)	50. DiVincentiis D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
16:06, 0 - 1, Fagemo S. (G), Yager B. (A), Anderson-Dolan J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 3.

In recent matches, Belleville has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Manitoba is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Manitoba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Belleville has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Belleville won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 63:53. (average 3.2:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Belleville won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:20. (average 3.3:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Belleville Senators - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.51%, but this team recently wins 35% of matches with these odds.

Manitoba Moose - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.89%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Belleville Senators
AHL
27.03.26	Belleville Senators - Manitoba Moose	5:0 ✺
21.03.26	Belleville Senators - Springfield Thunderbirds	3:5 ✺
20.03.26	Belleville Senators - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins	1:2 penalties ✺
18.03.26	Belleville Senators - Cleveland Monsters	2:7 ✺
15.03.26	Hershey Bears - Belleville Senators	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLLW
- Manitoba Moose
AHL
27.03.26	Belleville Senators - Manitoba Moose	5:0 ✺
25.03.26	Toronto Marlies - Manitoba Moose	4:1 ✺
23.03.26	Manitoba Moose - Tucson Roadrunners	1:4 ✺
21.03.26	Manitoba Moose - Tucson Roadrunners	3:4 ✺
19.03.26	Manitoba Moose - Milwaukee Admirals	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
27.03.26	Belleville Senators - Manitoba Moose	5:0
26.11.25	Manitoba Moose - Belleville Senators	5:1
25.11.25	Manitoba Moose - Belleville Senators	2:5
28.02.25	Belleville Senators - Manitoba Moose	5:3
26.02.25	Belleville Senators - Manitoba Moose	2:3 OT
07.12.24	Manitoba Moose - Belleville Senators	3:4 penalties
06.12.24	Manitoba Moose - Belleville Senators	3:6

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