Match Info

NHL

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Capital One Arena (Washington, DC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Chile	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Germany	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Iceland	Viaplay
Italy	DAZN Italia
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
United-kingdom	DAZN, Premier Sports 2
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	HBO Max, TNT, Victory+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Washington Capitals		Dallas Stars

	1	X	2
	2.35	4.2	2.55	Watch
	2.1	3.9	2.85
	2.45	4.13	2.49
	2.33	4.29	2.56	Watch
	2.38	4.33	2.5
	2.4	4.52	2.55
	2.4	4.25	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.63)	4.23 ↓ (4.52)	2.56 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Washington Capitals
40.5%

Draw
22.4%

Dallas Stars
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

21.5%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

21.3%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Dallas Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.7%	21.4%	42.9%

Washington Capitals - Dallas Stars Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Dallas will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dallas: 17% – 68.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5, 2nd Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Dallas Stars will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)	1. DeSmith C. (G)
74. Carlson J. (A)	4. Heiskanen M. (A)
42. Fehervary M.	23. Lindell E. (A)
72. Beauvillier A.	96. Rantanen M.
17. Strome D.	53. Johnston W.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)	95. Duchene M.
Line 2
3. Roy M.	5. Lundkvist N.
6. Chychrun J.	55. Harley T.
9. Leonard R.	22. Bourque M.
34. Sourdif J.	24. Hintz R. (A)
24. McMichael C.	21. Robertson J.
Line 3
52. McIlrath D.	20. Capobianco K.
38. Sandin R.	46. Lyubushkin I.
53. Frank E.	10. Back O.
26. Dowd N.	18. Steel S.
22. Duhaime B.	49. Hryckowian J.
Line 4
20. Leason B.	11. Bastian N.
29. Lapierre H.	12. Faksa R.
15. Milano S.	15. Blackwell C.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)	29. Oettinger J. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.	. Gulutzan G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
02:44, Lyubushkin I. (2 min),
03:06, 0 - 1, Faksa R. (G), Lindell E. (A),
03:16, McMichael C. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
01:12, Duhaime B. (2 min),
01:12, Lyubushkin I. (2 min),
02:37, 0 - 2, Steel S. (G), Harley T. (A), Duchene M. (A2)
12:53, Duhaime B. (5 min),
12:53, Lyubushkin I. (5 min),
15:55, Rantanen M. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
04:57, Dowd N. (2 min),
13:29, 0 - 3, Johnston W. (G), Steel S. (A),
17:41, 1 - 3, Ovechkin A. (G), Carlson J. (A), Chychrun J. (A2)
19:41, 1 - 4, Hintz R. (G), Harley T. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 1.

Recent performances by Washington have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dallas has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Washington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Washington: Dubois P. (Abdominal strain) Wilson T. (Lower-Body Injury)

There will not play in Dallas: Benn Ja. (Upper-Body Injury) Bichsel L. (Lower-Body Injury) Seguin T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Washington: Protas A. (Lower-Body Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 52:58. (average 2.6:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:34. (average 2.6:3.4).

Outrights of NHL for now

Washington Capitals: 5.74% Dallas Stars: 4.52%

Last Results with these Odds

Washington Capitals - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 36.89%, but this team recently wins 48% of matches with these odds.

Dallas Stars - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 41.64%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Washington Capitals
NHL
05.01.26	Washington Capitals - Anaheim Ducks	7:4 ✺
03.01.26	Washington Capitals - Chicago Blackhawks	2:3 penalties ✺
01.01.26	Ottawa Senators - Washington Capitals	4:3 ✺
31.12.25	Washington Capitals - New York Rangers	6:3 ✺
29.12.25	Florida Panthers - Washington Capitals	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLLWL
- Dallas Stars
NHL
06.01.26	Carolina Hurricanes - Dallas Stars	6:3 ✺
04.01.26	Dallas Stars - Montreal Canadiens	3:4 OT ✺
01.01.26	Chicago Blackhawks - Dallas Stars	4:3 ✺
31.12.25	Dallas Stars - Buffalo Sabres	1:4 ✺
27.12.25	Dallas Stars - Chicago Blackhawks	3:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
28.10.25	Dallas Stars - Washington Capitals	1:0
16.12.24	Dallas Stars - Washington Capitals	3:1
17.10.24	Washington Capitals - Dallas Stars	3:2
27.01.24	Dallas Stars - Washington Capitals	5:4 OT
07.12.23	Washington Capitals - Dallas Stars	4:5 penalties
15.12.22	Washington Capitals - Dallas Stars	1:2
27.10.22	Dallas Stars - Washington Capitals	2:0

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