Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 December 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: OYM Hall (Zug) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Canada	13:45	TSN+
Czech Republic	19:45	Sport 1
Denmark	19:45	Viaplay
Finland	20:45	Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
Norway	19:45	Viaplay
Poland	19:45	Polsat Sport 2
Slovakia	19:45	Sport 1
Sweden	19:45	Viaplay
Usa	13:45	NHL Network


	EV Zug		Lukko

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.5	3.5	Watch
	1.73	5.51	3.39
	1.7	4.34	3.58
	1.7	4.71	3.71	Watch
	1.67	4.4	3.6
	1.73	4.4	3.88	Watch
	1.71	4.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.87)	4.66 ↑ (4.62)	3.63 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

EV Zug
54.6%

Draw
19.9%

Lukko
25.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.5%

20.1%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

21.1%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EV Zug has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EV Zug's performance.

Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

EV Zug - Lukko Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. EV Zug will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Lukko will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - EV Zug (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5, OT - EV Zug (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - EV Zug (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - EV Zug (1.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - EV Zug (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. EV Zug (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
30. Genoni L. (G)	32. Raanta A. (G)
32. Bengtsson L.	9. Stenqvist J.
14. Stadler L.	38. Almari N. (A)
68. Herzog F.	16. Beaucage A.
88. Senteler S. (A)	25. Saarela A.
96. Vozenilek D.	48. Ikonen H. (A)
Line 2
42. Geisser T.	86. Gelinas E. (C)
37. Riva E.	5. Peters A.
73. Kunzle M.	90. Hamalainen L.
40. Wingerli A.	14. Intonen A.
15. Hofmann G. (A)	18. Jandric S.
Line 3
18. Schlumpf D.	34. Viitasalo N.
66. Sklenicka D.	56. Olsson A.
90. Tatar T.	27. Westerholm Po.
43. Kovar J. (C)	17. Westerholm Pa.
81. Kubalik D.	47. Haapanen T.
Line 4
92. Naf S.	15. Tukiainen J.
27. Guerra S.	51. Korkka O.
95. Lindemann C. S.	23. Trakht D.
61. Leuenberger S.	21. Vechet P.
22. Eggenberger N.
Substitutes
1. Wolf T. (G)	30. Salonen D. (G)
Coaches
. Liniger M.	. Lamsa T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
01:25, 1 - 0, Hofmann G. (G), Kunzle M. (A), Schlumpf D. (A2)
11:31, 2 - 0, Tatar T. (G), Kovar J. (A), Kubalik D. (A2)
19:26, Viitasalo N. (2 min),
19:54, 3 - 0, Hofmann G. (G), Senteler S. (A), Guerra S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
05:05, Wingerli A. (2 min),

Preview

1st leg result: 1-3. 2nd leg.

EV Zug has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lukko is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

EV Zug may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lukko has had a series of home games.

EV Zug will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, EV Zug won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

EV Zug - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.52%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EV Zug
Swiss National League Hockey
05.12.25	SCL Tigers - EV Zug	3:1 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
03.12.25	Lukko - EV Zug	3:1 ✺
Swiss National League Hockey
29.11.25	Ajoie - EV Zug	3:2 penalties ✺
27.11.25	EV Zug - Genève-Servette	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	EV Zug - Bern	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLWW
- Lukko Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
13.12.25	Lukko - Ässät	8:3 ✺
12.12.25	Ässät - Lukko	1:5 ✺
10.12.25	Lukko - Kärpät	5:2 ✺
05.12.25	Lukko - TPS	4:2 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
03.12.25	Lukko - EV Zug	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Ice Hockey
03.12.25	Lukko - EV Zug	3:1
07.10.25	Lukko - EV Zug	1:0

Upcoming Matches