Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Kivikylan Areena (Rauma)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN+
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Fight
Sweden	Viaplay
Usa	NHL Network


	Lukko		EV Zug

	1	X	2
	2.15	4	2.6	Watch
	2.26	4.18	2.69
	2.1	3.8	2.87
	2.11	3.92	2.93	Watch
	2.15	4	2.6
	2.19	4.05	2.79	Watch
	2	4.5	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.28)	4.06 ↓ (4.25)	2.78 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lukko
43.6%

Draw
22.9%

EV Zug
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

22.1%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

21.7%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

EV Zug has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EV Zug than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Lukko - EV Zug Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Raanta A. (G)	30. Genoni L. (G)
9. Stenqvist J.	18. Schlumpf D.
38. Almari N.	66. Sklenicka D.
16. Beaucage A.	96. Vozenilek D.
93. Ruohomaa M. (A)	88. Senteler S.
24. Krannila J.	68. Herzog F.
Line 2
5. Peters A.	94. Balestra N.
43. Valila A.	42. Geisser T.
90. Hamalainen L.	11. Petrovic C. N.
88. Morand A.	43. Kovar J. (C)
18. Jandric S.	81. Kubalik D.
Line 3
34. Viitasalo N.	32. Bengtsson L. (A)
56. Olsson A.	14. Stadler L.
27. Westerholm Po.	73. Kunzle M.
17. Westerholm Pa.	40. Wingerli A.
25. Saarela A.	15. Hofmann G. (A)
Line 4
86. Gelinas E. (C)	37. Riva E.
48. Ikonen H. (A)	86. Antenen R. N.
14. Intonen A.	61. Leuenberger S.
47. Haapanen T.	95. Lindemann C. S.
Substitutes
30. Salonen D. (G)	77. Wey L.
6. Tuuva L.	1. Wolf T. (G)
Coaches
. Lamsa T.	. Liniger M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
13:04, Senteler S. (2 min),
19:00, 1 - 0, Olsson A. (G), Intonen A. (A), Viitasalo N. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:19, 2 - 0, Intonen A. (G), Westerholm Po. (A),
09:00, Schlumpf D. (2 min),
18:50, Almari N. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
00:39, 2 - 1, Kunzle M. (G), Kubalik D. (A), Kovar J. (A2)
02:53, 3 - 1, Westerholm Po. (G), Westerholm Pa. (A), Saarela A. (A2)
16:58, Gelinas E. (2 min),

Preview

1st leg.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

EV Zug may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lukko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Including home match between the teams, Lukko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Lukko - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41.2%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

EV Zug - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.75%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lukko Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
29.11.25	HPK - Lukko	1:2 penalties ✺
28.11.25	Lukko - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Lukko - HIFK	1:3 ✺
22.11.25	KalPa - Lukko	6:2 ✺
21.11.25	JYP - Lukko	4:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLL
- EV Zug
Swiss National League Hockey
29.11.25	Ajoie - EV Zug	3:2 penalties ✺
27.11.25	EV Zug - Genève-Servette	3:1 ✺
25.11.25	EV Zug - Bern	4:2 ✺
22.11.25	Lausanne HC - EV Zug	5:2 ✺
21.11.25	EV Zug - Lugano	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Ice Hockey
07.10.25	Lukko - EV Zug	1:0

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