The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Washington Capitals 45.2%
Draw 23.1%
Florida Panthers 31.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
23%
36%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
24.4%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Florida Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Washington Capitals that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Florida Panthers than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Florida Panthers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
36.4%
9.1%
Washington Capitals - Florida Panthers Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Florida will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 25.1% – 83.9%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 4.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
48. Thompson L. (G)
40. Tarasov D. (G)
74. Carlson J. (A)
5. Ekblad A. (A)
42. Fehervary M.
42. Forsling G.
53. Frank E.
13. Reinhart S. (A)
17. Strome D.
15. Lundell A.
8. Ovechkin A. (C)
27. Luostarinen E.
Line 2
3. Roy M.
26. Balinskis U. J.
6. Chychrun J.
77. Mikkola N.
9. Leonard R.
10. Greer A.J.
24. McMichael C.
9. Bennett S. (A)
21. Protas A.
23. Verhaeghe C.
Line 3
57. Van Riemsdyk T.
2. Petry J.
38. Sandin R.
6. Sebrango D.
20. Leason B.
11. Samoskevich M.
29. Lapierre H.
17. Rodrigues E.
63. Miroshnichenko I.
95. Vilmanis S.
Line 4
72. Beauvillier A.
71. Kunin L.
26. Dowd N. (A)
79. Schwindt C.
22. Duhaime B.
70. Boqvist J.
Substitutes
79. Lindgren C. (G)
72. Bobrovsky S. (G)
Coaches
. Carbery S.
. Maurice P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
13:23, 0 - 1, Greer A.J. (G), Bennett S. (A), Ekblad A. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
01:14, Bennett S. (2 min),
01:14, Dowd N. (2 min),
02:04, 1 - 1, Chychrun J. (G), Protas A. (A), Carlson J. (A2)
10:04, 2 - 1, Chychrun J. (G), Carlson J. (A), Dowd N. (A2)
11:40, 2 - 2, Bennett S. (G), Verhaeghe C. (A), Mikkola N. (A2)
14:31, Ovechkin A. (2 min),
15:16, 2 - 3, Balinskis U. J. (G), Lundell A. (A), Reinhart S. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
00:22, Luostarinen E. (2 min),
08:30, Frank E. (2 min),
18:40, 2 - 4, Lundell A. (G), Reinhart S. (A),
19:26, 2 - 5, Verhaeghe C. (G), Bennett S. (A), Greer A.J. (A2)
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Washington may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Florida has had a series of away games.
Washington is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Washington: Dubois P.
(Abdominal strain)
Sourdif J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
There will not play in Florida: Barkov A.
(Knee Injury)
Gadjovich J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Jones S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Kulikov D.
(Wrist Injury)
Marchand B.
(Injury)
Nosek T.
(Knee Injury)
Tkachuk M.
(Groin Injury)
There are questionable in Washington: Wilson T.
(Lower-Body Injury)
There are questionable in Florida: Schwindt C.
(Arm Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 67:77. (average 3.4:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:31. (average 3.9:3.4).
Outrights of NHL for now
Florida Panthers: 9.47% Washington Capitals: 5.74%
Last Results with these Odds
Washington Capitals - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 40.92%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Florida Panthers - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 36.05%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.
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Thompson L. (G) 
Tarasov D. (G) 
Carlson J. (A) 
Fehervary M. 
Forsling G. 
Lundell A. 
Balinskis U. J. 
Protas A. 
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