The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gornyak-UGMK 56.3%
Draw 21.7%
CSK VVS Samara 21.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.5%
21.8%
23.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.7%
23%
25%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
CSK VVS Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSK VVS Samara than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Gornyak UGMK - CSK VVS Samara Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Gornyak-UGMK (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gornyak-UGMK (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
50. Zinaddin L. (G)
79. Kiselyov Y. (G)
26. Ishimnikov N.
77. Paskin Y.
8. Karpovich D.
34. Ostrovsky S. (A)
98. Kuimov Y.
51. Rakhimov R.
13. Zaytsev O. (C)
91. Nasyrov M.
52. Ovchinnikov I. (A)
9. Axyonov A. (A)
Line 2
62. Shchuchinov A.
58. Shumilov V.
72. Trofimov Y.
24. Chibrikov I.
70. Alexeyev Y.
10. Odinokov S.
14. Makhrin M. (A)
19. Galimov A. (C)
44. Lukhovskoy N.
42. Galiyev E.
Line 3
94. Kaigorodov G.
52. Zharkov I.
28. Sitnikov V.
68. Onishko A.
96. Miller N.
46. Zhukov S.
27. Yepishchev I.
13. Bazhukhin A.
97. Anufriev I.
78. Gosudarev A.
Line 4
23. Gamzakov M.
63. Kapustin A.
90. Nekrasov N.
71. Kolesnikov M.
71. Velikov M.
7. Glazunov M.
18. Sushchev V.
47. Salnikov L.
32. Borisov S.
55. Kruzhenkov G.
Substitutes
93. Romashkin P. (G)
43. Volkov G. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
19:41, 0 - 1, Galiyev E. (G), Salnikov L. (A), Odinokov S. (A2)
2nd Period (4 - 0)
03:45, 1 - 1, Borisov S. (G), Velikov M. (A),
09:14, 2 - 1, Yepishchev I. (G), Anufriev I. (A),
10:31, 3 - 1, Yepishchev I. (G), Miller N. (A), Anufriev I. (A2)
18:01, 4 - 1, Anufriev I. (G), Kaigorodov G. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
03:21, 4 - 2, Bazhukhin A. (G), Zhukov S. (A),
17:24, 5 - 2, Miller N. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 2.
Gornyak-UGMK has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by CSK VVS have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
CSK VVS may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Gornyak-UGMK has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Gornyak-UGMK for this game.
Our forecast points to a victory for Gornyak-UGMK in today's match, at odds of 1.59.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Gornyak-UGMK has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:38 (averaging 4.2:2.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gornyak-UGMK against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 40:17 goals (averaging 5.7:2.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
25
CSK VVS
15
3
1
1
10
31:51
9
Last Results with these Odds
CSK VVS Samara - the odds 3.95 are the expected chance of winning is 23.72%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.