The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Graz 99ers 47%
Draw 21.8%
Olimpija Ljubljana 31.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.1%
21.7%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.2%
23.5%
29.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Graz 99ers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Olimpija Ljubljana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Graz 99ers than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpija Ljubljana than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Graz 99ers - Olimpija Ljubljana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Kiviaho H. (G)
61. Horak L. (G)
81. Kirchebner M.
86. Bohinc R.
3. Hora F.
4. McNeill R.
55. Swaney N.
92. Lawrence J.
22. Conley K.
11. Quince M.
52. Huber P.
93. Meyer N.
Line 2
49. Maier D.
43. Brennan T.
18. Stapelfeldt P.
74. Halbert N.
70. Lippitsch J.
8. Mahkovec M.
64. Currie J.
14. Jeglic Z. (A)
23. Roy K.
9. Urbas J. (C)
Line 3
82. Reiner P.
44. Crnovic A.
58. Hanus C.
15. Gregorc B.
17. Ganahl M. (A)
37. Douglas C.
13. Schiechl M. (A)
89. Boychuk Z. (A)
10. Collins C.
71. Mehle Z.
Line 4
27. Gruber J.
21. Bukovec M.
74. Feldner N.
41. Cosic J.
73. Dobnig J.
23. Sodja J.
10. Bericic M.
13. Pance Z.
Substitutes
30. Wieser N. (G)
33. Us Z. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
00:25, 0 - 1, Lawrence J. (G), Meyer N. (A), Quince M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
16:45, 1 - 1, Lippitsch J. (G), Currie J. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 2)
04:00, 1 - 2, Lawrence J. (G), McNeill R. (A), Bohinc R. (A2)
06:50, 1 - 3, Meyer N. (G), Lawrence J. (A), Halbert N. (A2)
10:26, 2 - 3, Huber P. (G), Roy K. (A), Swaney N. (A2)
12:52, 3 - 3, Swaney N. (G), Huber P. (A), Reiner P. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
04:04, 3 - 4, Meyer N. (G), Brennan T. (A), Quince M. (A2)
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 6th in the Promotion - ICE Hockey League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Graz won 2.
Graz is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Olimpija have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Graz may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Graz holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Graz has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 12 losses, with a goal aggregate of 51:64 (averaging 2.6:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Graz against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with 26:31 goals (averaging 2.6:3.1 per game).
Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now
HK Olimpija: 4.21%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
5
HK Olimpija
8
4
1
0
3
37:25
14
9
Graz99ers
9
2
2
2
3
23:27
12
Last Results with these Odds
Olimpija Ljubljana - the odds 3.42 are the expected chance of winning is 27.2%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
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Kiviaho H. (G) 
Horak L. (G) 
Kirchebner M. 
Hora F. 
McNeill R. 
Meyer N. 
Halbert N. 
