Match Info
LiigaDate: 4 March 2026, WednesdayLocation: Helsinki Ice Hall (Helsinki)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
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HIFK |
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SaiPa |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.7 |
4.3 |
2.15 |
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 |
2.55 |
4.25 |
2.2 |
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 |
2.95 |
3.85 |
2.25 |
 Watch |
 |
2.59 |
4.39 |
2.19 |
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 |
2.76 |
4.4 |
2.11 |
Watch |
 |
2.63 |
4 |
2.2 |
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 |
2.66 |
4.2 |
2.23 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.69 ↓
(3.04) |
4.2 ↑
(4.18) |
2.19 ↑
(1.99) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
- The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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HIFK
34.8% | Draw
22.3% | SaiPa
42.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+1.7%)HIFK - SaiPa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
|---|
73.  Kohonen P. (G)
| 31.  Grigals G. (G)
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28. Ervasti K.
| 50. Salminen S.
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6. Sund T.
| 26. Kivihalme T.
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43.  Marleau V.
| 25. Kuusla E.
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77.  Kodytek P.
| 15. Salomaki M.
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71. Makiaho D.
| 51. Kalapudas A.
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| Line 2 |
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33. Kiviharju A.
| 14.  Kramer B.
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11. Melart I.
| 55. Trejbal O.
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81. Pakarinen I. (C)
| 41. Fortier M.
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18. Uronen A.
| 82. Nikkanen H.
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93. Vanhatalo L.
| 10. Kivenmaki O.
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| Line 3 |
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40. Lindbohm P.
| 6. Airola S.
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10.  Ragnarsson J.
| 7. Niinisaari S. (C)
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29. Repo S.
| 92.  Zezelj A.
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47. Ashbrook T.
| 12. Bau S.
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54. Somervuori J.
| 62. Tauslahti M.
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| Line 4 |
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85. Jalasti B.
| 22. Aho K.
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78. Seppala J.
| 81. Klintrup E.
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19. Lundell K.
| 21. Appelgren N.
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63. Mieho P.
| 18. Heikkila J.
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| Substitutes |
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60. Alnefelt H. (G)
| 30. Piiroinen K. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Jokinen O.
| . Helminen R.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 09:00, 0 - 1, Tauslahti M. (G), Salminen S. (A), Bau S. (A2)
- 12:39, 1 - 1, Repo S. (G), Lindbohm P. (A), Ashbrook T. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 06:39, Kodytek P. (2 min),
- 08:45, 1 - 2, Kivihalme T. (G), Tauslahti M. (A), Kuusla E. (A2)
- 10:24, Jalasti B. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 3)
- 00:14, Salminen S. (2 min),
- 06:14, 1 - 3, Nikkanen H. (G), Kivenmaki O. (A), Fortier M. (A2)
- 18:09, 2 - 3, Vanhatalo L. (G), Somervuori J. (A), Pakarinen I. (A2)
- 18:48, 2 - 4, Kramer B. (G), Fortier M. (A),
- 19:59, 2 - 5, Kivenmaki O. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 0.HIFK has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).SaiPa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).HIFK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match. We predict that SaiPa will win today's game, with odds of 2.2.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 48:64. (average 2.4:3.2).Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:31. (average 2.6:3.4).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
IFK Helsinki: 4.75% Saipa: 4.07%
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 14 | IFK Helsinki | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 31:34 | 13 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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