Match Info

Liiga

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Espoo Metro Areena (Espoo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Kiekko-Espoo		HIFK

	1	X	2
	2.35	4	2.55
	2.68	3.85	2.38	Watch
	2.58	3.88	2.27
	2.55	3.94	2.39	Watch
	2.4	3.75	2.25
	2.53	4.05	2.36	Watch
	2.7	3.75	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (2.36)	3.89 ↑ (3.73)	2.36 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kiekko-Espoo
36.6%

Draw
23.9%

HIFK
39.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

25.2%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

27%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kiekko-Espoo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Kiekko Espoo - HIFK Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Kiekko-Espoo will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kiekko-Espoo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Rimpinen P. (G)	60. Alnefelt H. (G)
51. Nakyva K.	33. Kiviharju A.
3. Keskitalo M. (A)	6. Sund T.
87. Komarov L.	43. Marleau V.
78. Tuomaala A.	77. Kodytek P. (A)
28. Hamalainen J.	52. Palmu P.
Line 2
21. Peltomaki N.	28. Ervasti K.
55. Aronsson A.	10. Ragnarsson J.
4. Kangasniemi I.	81. Pakarinen I. (C)
8. Hillis C.	21. Lehtera J. (A)
16. Vaisanen J.	71. Makiaho D.
Line 3
26. Kulonummi K.	90. Salmela S.
34. Laakso A.	40. Lindbohm P.
17. Talvitie A.	47. Ashbrook T.
14. Stevens J. (A)	18. Uronen A.
40. Sallinen T.	93. Vanhatalo L.
Line 4
7. Jurmo J.	98. Larsen O.
25. Puolanne E.	63. Mieho P.
75. Virtanen S. (C)	15. Somppi O.
18. Leppanen O.	54. Somervuori J.
Substitutes
35. Rajaniemi S. (G)	73. Kohonen P. (G)
Coaches
. Aho J.	. Jokinen O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
00:28, 1 - 0, Nakyva K. (G), Hillis C. (A),
06:39, Laakso A. (2 min),
09:46, Lindbohm P. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 0)
13:49, Somppi O. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
03:25, 2 - 0, Talvitie A. (G), Leppanen O. (A), Tuomaala A. (A2)
04:10, Hillis C. (2 min),
09:30, 3 - 0, Talvitie A. (G), Virtanen S. (A), Leppanen O. (A2)
19:21, Kodytek P. (2 min),
19:28, 4 - 0, Stevens J. (G), Nakyva K. (A), Keskitalo M. (A2)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kiekko-Espoo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Kiekko-Espoo will win today's game, with odds of 2.55.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 2.3:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 2:2.4).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

IFK Helsinki: 4.75% Kiekko-Espoo: 3.85%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Kiekko-Espoo	13	5	1	3	4	42:32	20
15	IFK Helsinki	10	2	1	2	5	25:33	10

Last Results with these Odds

Kiekko-Espoo - the odds 2.36 are the expected chance of winning is 39.75%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga
18.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Lukko	2:3 OT ✺
14.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Ässät	4:1 ✺
13.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kiekko-Espoo	3:2 penalties ✺
11.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Tappara - Kiekko-Espoo	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 LWLWW
- HIFK Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
14.02.26	SaiPa - HIFK	5:3 ✺
13.02.26	HIFK - Lukko	0:4 ✺
07.02.26	JYP - HIFK	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	HIFK - Kärpät	3:2 ✺
03.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - HIFK	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
17.01.26	HIFK - Kiekko-Espoo	2:3
24.10.25	Kiekko-Espoo - HIFK	1:0
12.09.25	HIFK - Kiekko-Espoo	2:4
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
15.08.25	Kiekko-Espoo - HIFK	0:1 OT
Finnish SM-liiga
01.03.25	Kiekko-Espoo - HIFK	4:3
28.11.24	HIFK - Kiekko-Espoo	1:2 OT
13.09.24	Kiekko-Espoo - HIFK	2:3

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