Match Info

Mestis

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday

Location: Kattokeskus Areena (Nokia)


	Nokian Pyry		IPK

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.60	1.60
	4.00	5.00	1.57	Watch
	3.63	4.49	1.65
	4.33	4.95	1.57	Watch
	3.55	4.40	1.62
	3.96	4.65	1.61	Watch
	4.20	4.50	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.92 ↓ (4.35)	4.66 ↓ (4.86)	1.6 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nokian Pyry
23.3%

Draw
19.6%

IPK
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

19.1%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

20.8%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nokian Pyry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Nokian Pyry aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IPK than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Nokian Pyry - IPK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Makela A. (G)	30. Sammalniemi J. (G)
43. Karvonen J.	96. Gronblom T.
28. Bilgili S.	4. Kotajarvi J.
7. Nykanen J.	77. Virtanen J. (C)
29. Hietamaki T.	27. Lausniemi A. (A)
20. Virolainen J.	7. Suhonen P. (A)
Line 2
9. Hietaniemi V.	81. Paqvalin A.
62. Tuupanen T.	6. Leppanen T.
18. Kalliosalo J.	28. Tolppola V.
12. Lehtosaari R.	33. Koskela S.
42. Mikkonen D.	72. Ahvenlampi M.
Line 3
32. Selin K.	56. Nissinen T.
26. Hietanen J.	2. Junkkari J.
92. Nyppeli J.	13. Halonen V.
11. Kaihua T.	26. Hattunen M.
34. Mantymaki T.	23. Paqvalin J.
Line 4
4. Ylitalo V.	59. Kahkonen J.
48. Haataja V.	9. Mykra O.
8. Saavola T.	18. Tohila R.
25. Kaipinen N.	67. Curri R.
Substitutes
51. Jutila M. (G)	31. Kerkola P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
03:10, 0 - 1, Virtanen J. (G), Lausniemi A. (A), Kotajarvi J. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
01:41, 1 - 1, Mantymaki T. (G),
05:31, 1 - 2, Hattunen M. (G), Kahkonen J. (A), Halonen V. (A2)
08:45, 2 - 2, Tuupanen T. (G), Bilgili S. (A),
18:39, 2 - 3, Virtanen J. (G), Ahvenlampi M. (A), Lausniemi A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
09:33, 2 - 4, Junkkari J. (G), Tolppola V. (A), Koskela S. (A2)
13:04, 3 - 4, Saavola T. (G), Lehtosaari R. (A), Karvonen J. (A2)
19:27, 3 - 5, Mykra O. (G), Kahkonen J. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pyry won 1.

In recent outings, Pyry has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

IPK is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

IPK could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this matchup, IPK is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Pyry has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:39 (averaging 3.3:4.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Pyry against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 17:19 goals (averaging 3.4:3.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	IPK	9	6	1	2	0	33:16	22
7	Pyry	10	3	0	1	6	26:33	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nokian Pyry
Finnish Mestis
03.10.26	Nokian Pyry - Imatran Ketterä	3:1 ✺
02.10.26	TuTo - Nokian Pyry	6:2 ✺
26.09.26	Hermes Kokkola - Nokian Pyry	5:2 ✺
25.09.26	Nokian Pyry - RoKi	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Nokian Pyry - Kiekko-Vantaa	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLWL
- Iisalmen Peli-Karhut
Finnish Mestis
02.10.26	KeuPa - IPK	1:6 ✺
25.09.26	IPK - Kiekko-Vantaa	4:0 ✺
23.09.26	IPK - Hermes Kokkola	2:3 OT ✺
19.09.26	IPK - RoKi	3:2 ✺
18.09.26	Imatran Ketterä - IPK	1:2 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
25.02.26	Nokian Pyry - IPK	2:4
13.02.26	IPK - Nokian Pyry	5:2
06.01.26	Nokian Pyry - IPK	5:4 OT
04.12.25	Nokian Pyry - IPK	1:3
04.10.25	IPK - Nokian Pyry	5:3
Finnish Suomi-sarja
06.03.16	IPK - Nokian Pyry	7:3
05.03.16	Nokian Pyry - IPK	2:4

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