Match Info

AHL

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Toyota Arena (Ontario, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Flohockey


	Ontario Reign		Iowa Wild

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.5	3.75	Watch
	1.69	4.4	3.85
	1.69	4.47	3.91	Watch
	1.67	4.33	3.75
	1.7	4.45	3.9	Watch
	1.66	4	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.7)	4.36 ↓ (4.39)	3.84 (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ontario Reign
55%

Draw
21.1%

Iowa Wild
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

21.2%

24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

20.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ontario Reign has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Iowa Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ontario Reign than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iowa Wild than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Copley P. (G)	67. Mercer R. (G)
59. Alexandrov N.	19. Bankier C. (A)
58. Bolduc S.	86. Foudy J.
24. Booth A.	14. Gambrell D.
8. Chromiak M.	6. Gleason B. (A)
17. Connors K.	43. Haight H.
37. Doty J. (A)	27. Heidt R.
55. Dvorak J.	18. Jones B. (C)
21. Gawdin G. (A)	61. Katchouk B.
81. Guttman C.	2. Koster M.
27. Hicketts J. (C)	7. Lambos C.
47. Hughes J.	44. Leskovar S.
46. Isogai K.	26. Liwiski M.
86. Jamsen A.	10. Marek B.
19. Kirsanov K.	20. Mayhew G.
71. Pinelli F.	24. Olausson O.
10. Salin O.	13. Sandelin R.
78. Wright J.	21. Spacek D.
13. Ziemmer K.	4. Zmolek W.
Substitutes
1. Portillo E. (G)	31. Hlavaj S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
01:17, 1 - 0, Connors K. (G), Jamsen A. (A), Wright J. (A2)
03:14, 2 - 0, Guttman C. (G), Alexandrov N. (A),
07:22, 2 - 1, Katchouk B. (G), Foudy J. (A), Gleason B. (A2)
18:12, 3 - 1, Wright J. (G), Gawdin G. (A), Hicketts J. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
08:30, 3 - 2, Lambos C. (G), Gambrell D. (A), Olausson O. (A2)
12:23, 4 - 2, Chromiak M. (G), Alexandrov N. (A), Bolduc S. (A2)
16:40, 4 - 3, Jones B. (G), Mayhew G. (A), Spacek D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 3.

Ontario is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Iowa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Iowa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ontario is a strong favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Ontario won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 57:55. (average 3.4:3.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ontario won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:25. (average 3.6:2.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ontario Reign
AHL
04.01.26	Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild	3:0 ✺
03.01.26	Ontario Reign - Coachella Valley Firebirds	3:2 ✺
31.12.25	Ontario Reign - San Jose Barracuda	4:5 ✺
30.12.25	Henderson Silver Knights - Ontario Reign	2:3 penalties ✺
27.12.25	San Jose Barracuda - Ontario Reign	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWLWW
- Iowa Wild
AHL
04.01.26	Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild	3:0 ✺
31.12.25	Iowa Wild - Texas Stars	2:3 OT ✺
30.12.25	Iowa Wild - Texas Stars	4:1 ✺
27.12.25	Iowa Wild - Chicago Wolves	2:1 OT ✺
20.12.25	Chicago Wolves - Iowa Wild	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

AHL
04.01.26	Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild	3:0
23.03.25	Iowa Wild - Ontario Reign	4:7
22.03.25	Iowa Wild - Ontario Reign	4:2
12.01.25	Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild	5:2
10.01.25	Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild	0:5
15.12.19	Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild	4:3
14.12.19	Ontario Reign - Iowa Wild	3:4 penalties

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