Match Info

Liiga

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: LähiTapiola Areena (Jyväskylä)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	JYP		HIFK

	1	X	2
	1.91	4.3	3.2
	1.95	4.06	3.4	Watch
	1.9	3.75	3.34
	1.88	4.06	3.52	Watch
	1.91	3.8	3
	1.92	4.3	3.23	Watch
	1.95	3.85	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.19)	4.02 ↓ (4.13)	3.3 ↑ (2.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JYP
48.6%

Draw
23.2%

HIFK
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

22.6%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

22.8%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in JYP's performance.

HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HIFK might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JYP that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HIFK could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

JYP - HIFK Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. JYP will win (votes: 3 - 50%). HIFK will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Setanen O. (G)	73. Kohonen P. (G)
44. Vatanen S. (A)	28. Ervasti K.
31. Peltola E.	6. Sund T.
39. Ojantakanen V.	29. Repo S.
28. Lassila J. (C)	21. Lehtera J. (A)
61. Huovila S.	77. Kodytek P. (A)
Line 2
63. Bourque T.	33. Kiviharju A.
29. Winberg T.	90. Salmela S.
91. Nieminen V.	52. Palmu P.
71. Puustinen J. (A)	81. Pakarinen I. (C)
92. Vidgren A.	71. Makiaho D.
Line 3
18. Jokinen R.	98. Larsen O.
4. Liikonen V.	40. Lindbohm P.
25. Jormakka P.	47. Ashbrook T.
17. Makinen O.	18. Uronen A.
40. Torgersson D.	93. Vanhatalo L.
Line 4
2. Pulli J.	86. Tiainen H.
27. Korjus J.	82. Karjalainen A.
89. Tyrvainen A.	15. Somppi O.
24. Huttu E.	63. Mieho P.
Substitutes
35. Salminen O. (G)	50. Elias R. (G)
Coaches
. Matikainen P.	. Jokinen O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
09:21, Peltola E. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
04:46, Salmela S. (2 min),
08:10, 1 - 0, Lassila J. (G), Huovila S. (A), Bourque T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
13:58, Larsen O. (2 min),
15:29, 2 - 0, Ojantakanen V. (G), Peltola E. (A), Huovila S. (A2)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 3.

JYP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

HIFK is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

HIFK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

JYP will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 66:62. (average 3.3:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:27. (average 3.5:2.7).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

IFK Helsinki: 4.75%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	JYP	10	7	0	0	3	30:25	21
15	IFK Helsinki	10	2	1	2	5	25:33	10

Last Results with these Odds

HIFK - the odds 2.69 are the expected chance of winning is 34.73%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JYP Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
05.02.26	JYP - HPK	4:5 penalties ✺
03.02.26	Lukko - JYP	5:2 ✺
31.01.26	Vaasan Sport - JYP	1:4 ✺
30.01.26	JYP - TPS	2:1 OT ✺
27.01.26	JYP - Lukko	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWWW
- HIFK Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
06.02.26	HIFK - Kärpät	3:2 ✺
03.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - HIFK	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	HIFK - Tappara	6:5 penalties ✺
30.01.26	Lukko - HIFK	6:2 ✺
24.01.26	HPK - HIFK	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
03.01.26	HIFK - JYP	5:3
29.10.25	HIFK - JYP	1:4
03.10.25	JYP - HIFK	6:0
28.02.25	HIFK - JYP	1:0
25.01.25	JYP - HIFK	4:3 OT
07.12.24	HIFK - JYP	1:3
25.10.24	JYP - HIFK	5:6 OT

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