The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ässät 46.7%
Draw 23.1%
KalPa 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.2%
22.2%
30.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
22.9%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ässät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Ässät - KalPa Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Ässät (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH 0 - Ässät (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.5, OT - Ässät (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Ässät (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
EH +1 - Ässät (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
EH +2, OT - Ässät (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5, 1st Period - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ässät (votes: 6 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Bednar J. (G)
47. Boyko T. (G)
67. Puutio K.
6. Westerlund F. (C)
37. Maatta R. (A)
97. Kanak L.
9. Lipiainen V.
20. Klemetti A.
74. Tiivola P. (A)
12. Saarelainen J.
78. Fabre D.
46. Soderlund T.
Line 2
8. Viljanen V.
55. Lappalainen L. (A)
3. Anttalainen A.
8. Ruotsalainen V.
88. Olofsson J.
22. Borchardt C.
44. Jarvinen J. (C)
86. Kombe K.
63. Kostilainen S.
42. Kapanen K.
Line 3
55. Riihinen P.
52. Tornberg A.
80. Nurmi P.
7. Mononen V.
16. Noiva N.
72. Nyman L.
19. Juhola P.
14. Lantta J. (A)
92. Alasiurua A.
41. Kononen J.
Line 4
77. Piipponen S.
18. Gallet H.
72. Josling S.
48. Timofejev D.
14. Sebok B.
89. Ketola J.
20. Talaja R.
39. Mykra O.
Substitutes
39. Lindberg F. (G)
31. Kerkola P. (G)
Coaches
. Pikkarainen J.
. Tervonen S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
05:01, 1 - 0, Noiva N. (G), Juhola P. (A), Riihinen P. (A2)
06:42, 1 - 1, Soderlund T. (G), Ketola J. (A),
16:28, Olofsson J. (2 min),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:15, Nyman L. (2 min),
07:59, Lantta J. (2 min),
12:04, 2 - 1, Kostilainen S. (G), Jarvinen J. (A), Olofsson J. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
01:44, Piipponen S. (2 min),
05:34, Nurmi P. (2 min),
13:20, 2 - 2, Ruotsalainen V. (G), Lantta J. (A), Kononen J. (A2)
19:42, 2 - 3, Soderlund T. (G), Saarelainen J. (A), Ruotsalainen V. (A2)
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 4.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
KalPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ässät has had a series of home games.
Ässät is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ässät won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 51:47. (average 2.6:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Ässät won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:19. (average 2.7:2.1).