The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
JYP 45.4%
Draw 23.3%
Tappara 31.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.7%
24.6%
36.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.8%
25.8%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JYP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in JYP's performance.
Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tappara might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for JYP than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with JYP that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tappara could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
JYP - Tappara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Setanen O. (G)
77. Metsola J. (G)
44. Vatanen S.
38. Almari N.
31. Peltola E. (A)
26. Mattila Je.
77. Tukiainen L.
11. Simontaival K.
28. Lassila J. (C)
89. Suvanto O.
17. Makinen O.
25. Haapala H.
Line 2
63. Bourque T.
72. Kulonummi K.
3. Arola J.
23. Jokipakka J.
39. Ojantakanen V.
21. Lindqvist M.
8. Newkirk R.
62. Mattila Ju. (A)
82. Pesonen H. (A)
94. Vanhatalo V.
Line 3
55. Ohtamaa A.
63. Tuulola J. (A)
32. Setkov M.
43. Karvonen J.
92. Vidgren A.
41. Nykanen J.
7. True A.
40. Sallinen T.
40. Torgersson D.
87. Fabre D.
Line 4
22. Vaisanen V.
5. Rasanen I.
71. Puustinen J.
28. Wia W.
14. Costmar A.
42. Rauhala O. (C)
27. Korjus J.
17. Pavel O.
Substitutes
16. Liljamo T.
30. Heljanko C. (G)
35. Salminen O. (G)
34. Vaarala V.
Coaches
. Matikainen P.
. Norrena F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 2)
02:01, 0 - 1, Lindqvist M. (G), Vanhatalo V. (A), Tuulola J. (A2)
02:56, Mattila Je. (2 min),
18:17, Vatanen S. (2 min),
18:33, 0 - 2, Simontaival K. (G), Lindqvist M. (A), Suvanto O. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
01:36, 1 - 2, Tukiainen L. (G), Makinen O. (A), Lassila J. (A2)
04:10, Setkov M. (2 min),
06:13, 1 - 3, Sallinen T. (G), Fabre D. (A), Mattila Ju. (A2)
19:19, 1 - 4, Haapala H. (G), Tuulola J. (A), Simontaival K. (A2)
3rd Period (3 - 2)
06:28, 1 - 5, Jokipakka J. (G), Simontaival K. (A), Suvanto O. (A2)
10:07, Pavel O. (2 min),
10:46, 2 - 5, Ojantakanen V. (G), Pesonen H. (A), True A. (A2)
12:37, Simontaival K. (2 min),
13:26, 3 - 5, Newkirk R. (G), True A. (A), Pesonen H. (A2)
16:29, 3 - 6, Tuulola J. (G), Rauhala O. (A),
18:24, Rauhala O. (2 min),
19:27, 4 - 6, Puustinen J. (G), Arola J. (A), Lassila J. (A2)
Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 9th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 2.
In recent outings, JYP has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tappara has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Tappara may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, JYP has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for JYP in today's match, at odds of 2.26.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, JYP has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 46:75 (averaging 2.3:3.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for JYP against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 22:39 goals (averaging 2.2:3.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
JYP
16
10
1
1
4
54:44
33
10
Tappara
18
7
2
3
6
51:43
28
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Tappara: 21.69%
Last Results with these Odds
JYP - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.66%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.