The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
JYP 26.7%
Draw 22.3%
Tappara 51.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.4%
26.1%
44.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.5%
28%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Tappara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tappara's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tappara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
JYP - Tappara Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +2.5, OT - JYP (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
EH +4 - JYP (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
EH +4, OT - JYP (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. JYP (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Salminen O. (G)
30. Heljanko C. (G)
44. Vatanen S. (A)
21. Matinmikko A.
3. Lehmus J.
23. Jokipakka J.
71. Puustinen J. (A)
11. Simontaival K.
28. Lassila J. (C)
20. Keskinen O.
61. Huovila S.
27. Tanus K.
Line 2
63. Bourque T.
44. Juolevi O.
29. Winberg T.
26. Mattila Je.
39. Ojantakanen V.
88. Blichfeld J.
7. True A.
22. Rasanen A.
40. Torgersson D.
78. Rautiainen B.
Line 3
18. Jokinen R.
63. Tuulola J. (A)
4. Liikonen V.
6. Brickley D.
25. Jormakka P.
82. Tuulola E.
17. Makinen O.
42. Rauhala O. (C)
14. Perttu M.
25. Haapala H.
Line 4
21. Vuontisvaara O.
15. Andersson J.
92. Vidgren A.
51. Sylvegard E.
89. Tyrvainen A.
62. Mattila Ju. (A)
91. Nieminen V.
24. Addamo J.
Substitutes
34. Setanen O. (G)
77. Metsola J. (G)
Coaches
. Matikainen P.
. Gronborg R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 0)
01:49, 1 - 0, Jormakka P. (G), Jokinen R. (A),
17:47, Matinmikko A. (2 min),
18:25, 2 - 0, Ojantakanen V. (G), Vatanen S. (A), Huovila S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
01:02, Puustinen J. (2 min),
02:42, 2 - 1, Keskinen O. (G), Tanus K. (A), Simontaival K. (A2)
05:58, Blichfeld J. (2 min),
07:03, Rasanen A. (2 min),
09:13, Mattila Ju. (2 min),
12:38, Liikonen V. (2 min),
13:38, 2 - 2, Jokipakka J. (G), Haapala H. (A), Simontaival K. (A2)
15:25, Vuontisvaara O. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
11:45, Winberg T. (2 min),
11:45, Rautiainen B. (2 min),
14:56, Tyrvainen A. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:53, 2 - 3, Blichfeld J. (G), Mattila Je. (A),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Tappara will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 47:82. (average 2.4:4.1).
Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:41. (average 2.2:4.1).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Tappara: 25.24%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
JYP
10
7
0
0
3
30:25
21
9
Tappara
10
5
1
0
4
28:21
17
Last Results with these Odds
Tappara - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 44.5%, but this team recently wins 32% of matches with these odds.
Finland
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Salminen O. (G) 
Bourque T. 
Blichfeld J. 
Torgersson D. 
Brickley D. 
Addamo J. 
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