Match Info

Liiga

Date: 13 March 2026, Friday

Location: LähiTapiola Areena (Jyväskylä)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	JYP		Ilves

	1	X	2
	3	4	2.05
	3.5	3.85	1.95
	3.49	4.07	1.85
	3.37	4.02	1.93
	3	3.8	1.85
	3.24	4.3	1.92	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.27 ↑ (2.75)	4.01 ↑ (3.8)	1.93 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

JYP
28.5%

Draw
23.2%

Ilves
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.6%

23.6%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

25.3%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JYP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

JYP - Ilves Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. JYP will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ilves will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. JYP (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
34. Setanen O. (G)	40. Armalis M. (G)
44. Vatanen S. (A)	23. Johansson S.
3. Lehmus J.	57. Parikka J.
71. Puustinen J. (A)	46. Torok M.
28. Lassila J. (C)	12. Mantykivi M.
61. Huovila S.	92. Henman L.
Line 2
63. Bourque T.	53. Pelli A.
29. Winberg T.	21. Kucerik R.
39. Ojantakanen V.	29. Looke J.
7. True A.	9. Jasek L.
40. Torgersson D.	17. Ratinen S.
Line 3
18. Jokinen R.	3. Utunen T. (A)
4. Liikonen V.	28. Nyberg J.
25. Jormakka P.	48. Klingberg C. (A)
17. Makinen O.	11. Borg E.
14. Perttu M.	22. Engberg T.
Line 4
21. Vuontisvaara O.	43. Latvala O.
91. Nieminen V.	89. Quenneville P.
89. Tyrvainen A.	86. Nattinen J. (C)
92. Vidgren A.	15. Kos O.
Substitutes
35. Salminen O. (G)	39. Pavlat D. (G)
Coaches
. Matikainen P.	. Niemela T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
07:12, 0 - 1, Nyberg J. (G), Ratinen S. (A), Utunen T. (A2)
08:36, Nattinen J. (2 min),
15:12, Makinen O. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
02:06, 1 - 1, Lassila J. (G), Huovila S. (A), Puustinen J. (A2)
06:07, Utunen T. (2 min),
08:25, Kucerik R. (2 min),
12:53, 1 - 2, Engberg T. (G), Kucerik R. (A), Klingberg C. (A2)
13:25, 2 - 2, Ojantakanen V. (G), True A. (A),
14:33, 2 - 3, Ratinen S. (G), Looke J. (A), Johansson S. (A2)
16:30, Bourque T. (2 min),
16:30, Klingberg C. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
02:36, Henman L. (2 min),
04:22, 3 - 3, Puustinen J. (G), Vatanen S. (A), Huovila S. (A2)
14:53, 3 - 4, Quenneville P. (G),
18:15, 3 - 5, Jasek L. (G),
19:07, 3 - 6, Torok M. (G), Utunen T. (A), Henman L. (A2)

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, JYP won 4.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

JYP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Ilves might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, JYP won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 46:67. (average 2.3:3.4).

Including home matches between the teams, JYP won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 2.6:3.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Ilves	11	7	1	0	3	33:24	23
4	JYP	10	7	0	0	3	30:25	21

Last Results with these Odds

JYP - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 32.62%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Ilves - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 43.77%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JYP Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
11.03.26	JYP - Tappara	2:3 OT ✺
07.03.26	Vaasan Sport - JYP	0:3 ✺
06.03.26	JYP - Mikkelin Jukurit	3:4 penalties ✺
04.03.26	Kiekko-Espoo - JYP	2:3 OT ✺
28.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - JYP	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWW
- Ilves hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
10.03.26	Ilves - HPK	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	TPS - Ilves	1:4 ✺
06.03.26	Ilves - Tappara	4:3 OT ✺
28.02.26	KooKoo - Ilves	5:1 ✺
25.02.26	Pelicans - Ilves	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
14.01.26	Ilves - JYP	3:4 penalties
24.09.25	Ilves - JYP	1:5
10.09.25	JYP - Ilves	4:3
22.02.25	JYP - Ilves	3:1
28.01.25	Ilves - JYP	6:3
11.12.24	JYP - Ilves	6:2
16.11.24	Ilves - JYP	5:2

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