Match Info
LiigaDate: 15 September 2026, TuesdayLocation: Olvi Areena (Kuopio)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Sweden | TV4 Play |
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KalPa |
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HPK |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.91 |
4.25 |
3.2 |
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2.15 |
3.90 |
2.80 |
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2.18 |
3.85 |
2.95 |
Watch |
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2.24 |
3.72 |
2.81 |
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2.14 |
3.88 |
2.89 |
Watch |
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2.2 |
3.65 |
2.75 |
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 |
2.18 |
4.1 |
2.78 |
Watch |
 |
2.13 |
3.9 |
2.85 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.14 ↑ (2.05) |
3.91 ↑ (3.85) |
2.88 ↓ (3.1) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
- The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
KalPa 43.6% | Draw 23.9% | HPK 32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-0.7%)KalPa - HPK Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).New Consensus by Tipsters:- 1X2 - Kalpa (1.71) (votes: 94%) โญ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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35. Korhonen R. (G)
| 65. Crespin J. (G)
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57. Lyytinen J.
| 43. Kukkonen M. (A)
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18. Gallet H.
| 4. Jokirinne V.
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70. Hartikainen T. (A)
| 95. Ranford B.
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91. Vilen E.
| 12. Paivarinta S. (A)
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9. Maenpaa J.
| 94. Hakulinen A. (C)
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| Line 2 |
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97. Kanak L.
| 7. Pyke G.
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8. Ruotsalainen V.
| 39. Nychuk C.
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22. Borchardt C.
| 81. Oden J.
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12. Saarelainen J.
| 29. MacEachern C.
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42. Kapanen K.
| 11. de Jong E.
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| Line 3 |
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55. Lappalainen L. (A)
| 55. Piironen V.
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4. Jokinen M.
| 16. Gabrielsson H.
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54. Piitulainen J.
| 28. Kukuca A.
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28. Rissanen J. (C)
| 64. Kainulainen H.
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20. Klemetti A.
| 10. Vesterinen R.
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| Line 4 |
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3. Karlsson A.
| 51. Ketonen A.
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89. Ketola J.
| 93. Makinen I.
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86. Kombe K.
| 25. Huttunen H.
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85. Somppi O.
| 15. Korhonen O.
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41. Kononen J.
| 8. Alitalo V.
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| Substitutes |
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40. Lekkas S. (G)
| 1. Saarinen K. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Tervonen S.
| . Manner M.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 01:35, Ruotsalainen V. (2 min),
- 10:19, 1 - 0, Lyytinen J. (G), Maenpaa J. (A), Gallet H. (A2)
- 11:53, Kononen J. (2 min),
- 17:37, Saarelainen J. (2 min),
- 17:37, Kapanen K. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (4 - 0)
- 03:21, 2 - 0, Kononen J. (G), Gallet H. (A), Kombe K. (A2)
- 04:21, Crespin J. (2 min),
- 05:32, 3 - 0, Klemetti A. (G), Lyytinen J. (A), Korhonen R. (A2)
- 05:32, Crespin J. ↓, Saarinen K. ↑,
- 08:37, 4 - 0, Lyytinen J. (G), Klemetti A. (A), Lappalainen L. (A2)
- 09:59, Piironen V. (2 min),
- 13:02, Hartikainen T. (2 min),
- 13:02, Kukkonen M. (2 min),
- 16:28, 5 - 0, Maenpaa J. (G), Hartikainen T. (A),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 03:07, 6 - 0, Kapanen K. (G), Ketola J. (A), Ruotsalainen V. (A2)
- 03:42, 7 - 0, Maenpaa J. (G), Jokinen M. (A), Hartikainen T. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 3.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. KalPa could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 59:47. (average 3:2.4).Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 31:15. (average 3.4:1.7).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Hameenlinna: 2.23%
Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 10 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 28:35 | 18 |
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| 13 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 27:29 | 13 |
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Last Results with these Odds
KalPa - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 45.58%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 19.02.26 | HPK - KalPa | 2:1 penalties | | 22.01.26 | KalPa - HPK | 3:1 | | 13.12.25 | HPK - KalPa | 1:2 | | 26.11.25 | KalPa - HPK | 4:1 | | 24.01.25 | KalPa - HPK | 1:4 | | 20.12.24 | HPK - KalPa | 2:1 | | 27.11.24 | HPK - KalPa | 3:4 OT |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;