The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kärpät 41.3%
Draw 24.4%
Kiekko-Espoo 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43%
23.3%
33.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
23.5%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Kärpät - Kiekko Espoo Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Kärpät will win (votes: 3 - 100%).
New Consensus by Tipsters:
AH -1.5 - Karpat (3.00) (votes: 90%) ⭐ Best Value.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
41. Rubin N. (G)
30. Rimpinen P. (G)
21. Matinmikko A.
8. Corcoran C.
25. Paaso A.
51. Nakyva K.
16. Okany A.
72. Svejkovsky L.
33. Hirvonen R.
24. Lajunen J. (A)
82. Pakkila E.
76. Sallinen J. (C)
Line 2
9. Soini K.
47. Lajunen V. (A)
26. Tichacek J.
3. Keskitalo M.
73. Erholtz E. (C)
12. Oberg L.
31. Koivistoinen E. (A)
15. King C.
93. Kantner M.
28. Hamalainen J.
Line 3
3. Kokkonen L.
21. Peltomaki N.
2. Rissanen R.
5. Aronsson A.
11. Tornqvist H.
77. From M.
19. Tikka T.
78. Tuomaala A.
27. Ratinen S.
4. Kangasniemi I.
Line 4
61. Salmela T. (A)
55. Kotkansalo K.
62. Nilsson W.
90. Salovaara E.
80. Korpimaki M.
17. Talvitie A.
59. Hermonen J.
25. Puolanne E.
Substitutes
37. Erholtz A.
14. Keinanen J.
32. Vedenpaa V. (G)
35. Rajaniemi S. (G)
Coaches
. Karjalainen P.
. Aho J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 1)
07:47, 1 - 0, Tikka T. (G), Salmela T. (A), Ratinen S. (A2)
13:04, 2 - 0, Rissanen R. (G), Koivistoinen E. (A), Erholtz E. (A2)
14:32, Hirvonen R. (2 min),
16:22, 3 - 0, Okany A. (G), Tikka T. (A),
17:24, Rissanen R. (2 min),
18:36, 3 - 1, From M. (G), Svejkovsky L. (A), Corcoran C. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 1)
05:04, Lajunen J. (2 min),
06:53, 4 - 1, Matinmikko A. (G), Ratinen S. (A), Tieksola T. (A2)
13:38, 4 - 2, From M. (G), Corcoran C. (A), Nakyva K. (A2)
15:48, 5 - 2, Matinmikko A. (G),
17:25, 6 - 2, Rissanen R. (G), Erholtz E. (A), Koivistoinen E. (A2)
17:25, Rimpinen P. ↓, Rajaniemi S. ↑,
3rd Period (1 - 5)
03:50, 6 - 3, Lajunen V. (G),
05:19, 6 - 4, Svejkovsky L. (G), Sallinen J. (A), Lajunen V. (A2)
10:09, 6 - 5, King C. (G), Keskitalo M. (A), Nakyva K. (A2)
17:00, 6 - 6, Lajunen V. (G), Corcoran C. (A), Svejkovsky L. (A2)
18:20, 7 - 6, Okany A. (G), Matinmikko A. (A),
18:55, 7 - 7, Svejkovsky L. (G), Lajunen V. (A), Sallinen J. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
02:18, Kantner M. (2 min),
04:38, 8 - 7, Tichacek J. (G), Kantner M. (A), Hirvonen R. (A2)
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 8th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 5.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Recently, Kärpät has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Our forecast points to a victory for Kärpät in today's match, at odds of 2.25.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Kärpät has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:19 (averaging 3:2.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kärpät against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 10:13 goals (averaging 2.5:3.3 per game).
Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now
Kiekko-Espoo: 3.85%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
4
Karpat
13
5
2
3
3
35:34
22
7
Kiekko-Espoo
13
5
1
3
4
42:32
20
Last Results with these Odds
Kärpät - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 43%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
Kiekko-Espoo - the odds 2.79 are the expected chance of winning is 33.75%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.