Match Info

Liiga

Date: 7 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Lumon Areena (Kouvola)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	KooKoo		Lukko

	1	X	2
	2	4.3	2.9
	2.08	4	3.1	Watch
	2.08	3.68	2.98
	2.08	3.91	3.05	Watch
	1.95	3.8	2.88
	2.03	4.3	2.96	Watch
	1.95	4	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.19)	4 ↓ (4.16)	3.02 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KooKoo
45.9%

Draw
23.3%

Lukko
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

22.5%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

22.9%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KooKoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for KooKoo than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

KooKoo - Lukko Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
32. Jatkola J. (G)	31. Ortio J. (G)
43. Loponen K.	9. Stenqvist J.
41. Berger J.	38. Almari N.
82. Meskanen V.	27. Westerholm Po.
71. Siikonen M. (A)	93. Ruohomaa M. (A)
88. Rooba R. (A)	24. Krannila J.
Line 2
28. Ahlroth J.	86. Gelinas E. (C)
42. Suomi J.	5. Peters A.
15. Jaakola O.	90. Hamalainen L.
70. Davidsson M.	88. Morand A.
24. Miettinen V.	18. Jandric S.
Line 3
17. Grondahl A.	34. Viitasalo N.
6. Riekkinen J.	56. Olsson A.
10. Sulku S.	47. Haapanen T.
13. Paajanen O. (C)	14. Intonen A.
22. Luoto O.	25. Saarela A.
Line 4
7. Parssinen J.	43. Valila A.
58. Makela M.	10. Joki A.
27. Makinen A.	17. Westerholm Pa.
55. Gallo V.	48. Ikonen H. (A)
Substitutes
35. Myllykangas A. (G)	30. Salonen D. (G)
Coaches
. Myrra J.	. Lamsa T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
02:29, Riekkinen J. (2 min),
10:28, Morand A. (2 min),
11:09, 1 - 0, Rooba R. (G), Sulku S. (A), Meskanen V. (A2)
12:12, Westerholm Pa. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
03:58, (2 min),
06:07, Ahlroth J. (2 min),
09:44, Gallo V. (2 min),
10:24, 1 - 1, Stenqvist J. (G), Viitasalo N. (A), Saarela A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
08:45, Luoto O. (2 min),
09:11, 1 - 2, Westerholm Po. (G), Saarela A. (A), Ruohomaa M. (A2)
19:04, 1 - 3, Saarela A. (G), Almari N. (A),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KooKoo won 3.

KooKoo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lukko is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lukko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KooKoo won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 60:60. (average 3:3).

Including home matches between the teams, KooKoo won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 23:27. (average 2.6:3).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

KooKoo: 1.72%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Lukko	11	6	1	0	4	29:23	20
17	KooKoo	12	1	0	1	10	25:52	4

Last Results with these Odds

KooKoo - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.67%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KooKoo
Finnish SM-liiga
06.02.26	Ilves - KooKoo	1:3 ✺
04.02.26	KooKoo - Ässät	3:1 ✺
31.01.26	KooKoo - TPS	5:1 ✺
28.01.26	Ässät - KooKoo	2:5 ✺
24.01.26	KooKoo - Kiekko-Espoo	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWWW
- Lukko Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
06.02.26	Lukko - TPS	3:2 ✺
03.02.26	Lukko - JYP	5:2 ✺
31.01.26	HPK - Lukko	0:1 OT ✺
30.01.26	Lukko - HIFK	6:2 ✺
27.01.26	JYP - Lukko	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
17.10.25	KooKoo - Lukko	2:5
02.10.25	Lukko - KooKoo	3:1
14.02.25	Lukko - KooKoo	3:8
29.01.25	KooKoo - Lukko	6:2
05.10.24	KooKoo - Lukko	2:1
10.09.24	Lukko - KooKoo	3:4 OT
07.02.24	Lukko - KooKoo	1:6

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