Match Info

KHL

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday

Location: Traktor Arena (Chelyabinsk)


	Traktor Chelyabinsk		Severstal Cherepovets

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.9	2.88
	2.3	3.98	2.91	Watch
	2.2	3.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.08)	3.91 ↓ (4.32)	2.86 ↓ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Traktor Chelyabinsk
42.4%

Draw
24.4%

Severstal Cherepovets
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

21.8%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

22.7%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Traktor Chelyabinsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Severstal Cherepovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Traktor Chelyabinsk than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Severstal Cherepovets than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Traktor Chelyabinsk - Severstal Cherepovets Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Traktor will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Severstal will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
20. Mylnikov S. (G)	29. Samoilov A. (G)
26. Day L.	32. Gregoire T.
2. Dronov G. (A)	2. Grudinin V.
94. Grigorenko M. (A)	88. Dumbadze D. (A)
97. Glotov V.	66. Podshivalov I. (A)
90. Leivo J.	18. Veryayev D.
Line 2
79. Gross J.	7. Burenov N.
67. Cajkovsky M.	8. Kaldis Y.
74. Kravtsov V.	10. Tsitsyura V.
87. Svetlakov A.	53. Aimurzin D.
7. Dzhioshvili M.	99. Ilyin M.
Line 3
72. Telegin S.	67. Karimov T.
48. Koromyslov A.	21. Kamalov N.
12. Rykov A.	37. Reingardt I.
78. Kadeykin A. (C)	17. Abrosimov R. (C)
96. Korshkov Y.	90. Chefanov I.
Line 4
42. Yusupov V.	16. Vashchenko G.
19. Nikonov A.	81. Kazulayev D.
83. Gorbunov S.	6. Ivantsov I.
45. Goryunov-Rolgizer M.	12. Skorenov A.
Substitutes
70. Nikolayev D. (G)	85. Okunev I.
33. Rykmanov A.	1. Shostak K. (G)
Coaches
. Koreshkov Y.	. Kozyrev A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
09:44, 1 - 0, Leivo J. (G), Glotov V. (A),
10:59, 2 - 0, Rykov A. (G), Kadeykin A. (A), Korshkov Y. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 0)
00:17, 3 - 0, Glotov V. (G), Day L. (A), Dronov G. (A2)
08:25, Kamalov N. (2 min),
10:18, 4 - 0, Glotov V. (G), Dronov G. (A), Grigorenko M. (A2)
10:18, Samoilov A. ↓, Shostak K. ↑,
19:05, Kadeykin A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 2)
00:51, 4 - 1, Skorenov A. (G), Kaldis Y. (A), Aimurzin D. (A2)
06:05, 5 - 1, Dzhioshvili M. (G), Cajkovsky M. (A), Gross J. (A2)
09:00, Rykov A. (2 min),
09:15, Koromyslov A. (2 min),
10:22, Svetlakov A. (2 min),
11:13, 5 - 2, Kaldis Y. (G), Skorenov A. (A), Ilyin M. (A2)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Severstal is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Traktor won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Traktor may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Traktor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Traktor won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 47:43. (average 2.4:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Traktor won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 2.2:1.8).

Outrights of KHL for now

Tractor Chelyabinsk: 2.16%

Last Results with these Odds

Traktor Chelyabinsk - the odds 2.08 are the expected chance of winning is 45.44%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Severstal Cherepovets - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.74%, but this team recently wins 54% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Traktor Chelyabinsk
KHL
18.02.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Salavat Yulaev Ufa	0:6 ✺
15.02.26	Avangard Omsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	6:2 ✺
13.02.26	Admiral Vladivostok - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:3 ✺
11.02.26	Amur Khabarovsk - Traktor Chelyabinsk	5:6 ✺
04.02.26	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Ak Bars Kazan	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLWWW
- Severstal Cherepovets
KHL
18.02.26	SKA Saint Petersburg - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 penalties ✺
15.02.26	Severstal Cherepovets - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk	3:1 ✺
12.02.26	Shanghai Dragons - Severstal Cherepovets	2:3 ✺
10.02.26	Dinamo Minsk - Severstal Cherepovets	7:4 ✺
05.02.26	Severstal Cherepovets - SKA Saint Petersburg	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

KHL
01.12.25	Severstal Cherepovets - Traktor Chelyabinsk	3:2
08.03.25	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Severstal Cherepovets	5:1
08.12.24	Severstal Cherepovets - Traktor Chelyabinsk	2:1
17.01.24	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Severstal Cherepovets	0:1 penalties
26.12.23	Severstal Cherepovets - Traktor Chelyabinsk	3:5
09.10.22	Severstal Cherepovets - Traktor Chelyabinsk	4:3 penalties
02.09.22	Traktor Chelyabinsk - Severstal Cherepovets	2:4

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