Match Info

Liiga

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Espoo Metro Areena (Espoo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Kiekko-Espoo		Lukko

	1	X	2
	2.8	4.2	2.11
	2.56	3.86	2.49	Watch
	2.57	3.59	2.48
	2.56	3.76	2.46	Watch
	2.4	3.7	2.3
	2.49	4.2	2.41	Watch
	2.45	3.6	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.85)	3.84 ↓ (4.04)	2.41 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Kiekko-Espoo
36.8%

Draw
24.4%

Lukko
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.8%

23.1%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

24.1%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lukko might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Kiekko Espoo - Lukko Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

#ad

Lineups

Line 1
30. Rimpinen P. (G)	30. Salonen D. (G)
51. Nakyva K.	9. Stenqvist J.
3. Keskitalo M. (A)	38. Almari N.
72. Svejkovsky L.	16. Beaucage A.
78. Tuomaala A.	93. Ruohomaa M. (A)
28. Hamalainen J.	24. Krannila J.
Line 2
21. Peltomaki N.	86. Gelinas E. (C)
55. Aronsson A.	5. Peters A.
4. Kangasniemi I.	6. Tuuva L.
8. Hillis C.	14. Intonen A.
16. Vaisanen J.	47. Haapanen T.
Line 3
26. Kulonummi K.	34. Viitasalo N.
34. Laakso A.	56. Olsson A.
87. Komarov L.	27. Westerholm Po.
14. Stevens J. (A)	17. Westerholm Pa.
40. Sallinen T.	25. Saarela A.
Line 4
7. Jurmo J.	40. Daschke D.
17. Talvitie A.	48. Ikonen H. (A)
75. Virtanen S. (C)	10. Joki A.
18. Leppanen O.	88. Morand A.
Substitutes
35. Rajaniemi S. (G)	31. Ortio J. (G)
Coaches
. Aho J.	. Lamsa T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
03:39, 1 - 0, Hamalainen J. (G), Tuomaala A. (A), Aronsson A. (A2)
03:57, 2 - 0, Kangasniemi I. (G), Vaisanen J. (A), Hillis C. (A2)
07:37, Jurmo J. (2 min),
11:00, Laakso A. (2 min),
12:53, 2 - 1, Gelinas E. (G), Viitasalo N. (A), Tuuva L. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
10:49, Peters A. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
08:43, Joki A. (2 min),
08:43, Keskitalo M. (2 min),
10:49, Stevens J. (2 min),
10:49, Saarela A. (2 min),
18:32, 2 - 2, Westerholm Po. (G), Saarela A. (A), Ruohomaa M. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
02:11, 2 - 3, Gelinas E. (G), Morand A. (A), Intonen A. (A2)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 2.

Kiekko-Espoo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Lukko has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Lukko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kiekko-Espoo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:17. (average 2.5:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kiekko-Espoo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 2.3:3.3).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Kiekko-Espoo: 1.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
6	Lukko	11	6	1	0	4	29:23	20
7	Kiekko-Espoo	13	5	1	3	4	42:32	20

Last Results with these Odds

Kiekko-Espoo - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 32.79%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga
14.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Ässät	4:1 ✺
13.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kiekko-Espoo	3:2 penalties ✺
11.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Tappara - Kiekko-Espoo	3:4 ✺
31.01.26	SaiPa - Kiekko-Espoo	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.4 WLWWW
- Lukko Hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
17.02.26	Ilves - Lukko	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	Lukko - Tappara	1:4 ✺
13.02.26	HIFK - Lukko	0:4 ✺
07.02.26	KooKoo - Lukko	1:3 ✺
06.02.26	Lukko - TPS	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
27.09.25	Lukko - Kiekko-Espoo	3:2 penalties
26.09.25	Kiekko-Espoo - Lukko	4:2
22.01.25	Kiekko-Espoo - Lukko	2:4
03.01.25	Lukko - Kiekko-Espoo	3:2 OT
07.12.24	Lukko - Kiekko-Espoo	1:4
23.10.24	Kiekko-Espoo - Lukko	1:4

Kiekko-Espoo - Lukko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide