The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Montreal Canadiens 42%
Draw 22.3%
Pittsburgh Penguins 35.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.2%
20.9%
29.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.2%
20.9%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montreal Canadiens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Montreal Canadiens's form might have worsened.
Pittsburgh Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pittsburgh Penguins's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montreal Canadiens than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Montreal Canadiens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pittsburgh Penguins, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
92.3%
7.7%
0%
Montreal Canadiens - Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 2 - 50%). Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Montreal (2.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
New Consensus by Tipsters:
1X2 - MTL Canadiens (1.83) (votes: 100%) โญ Best Value.
Users Predictions:
Montreal Canadiens will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%). Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% โ 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Montreal (votes: 3 - 60%). Pittsburgh (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Preview
One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - NHL Playoffs and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 3.
Montreal has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Pittsburgh has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Pittsburgh could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Montreal has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Montreal holding a narrow advantage.
Confirmed absences for Montreal: Demidov I.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Matheson M.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Montembeault S.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Suzuki N.
(Upper-Body Injury).
Confirmed absences for Pittsburgh: Brazeau J.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Graves R.
(Knee Injury)
Rust B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Soderblom E.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Van Riemsdyk T.
(Lower-Body Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Montreal in today's match, at odds of 2.04.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Montreal has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 59:72 (averaging 3:3.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Montreal against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 28:35 goals (averaging 2.8:3.5 per game).
Outrights of NHL for now
Montreal Canadiens: 3.24% Pittsburgh Penguins: 0.99%
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