Match Info

NHL

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Canadian Tire Centre (Ottawa, ON)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	NHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix
Iceland	Viaplay
Mexico	Sky Sport
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NHL.tv


	Ottawa Senators		San Jose Sharks

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.5	3.6	Watch
	1.85	4.3	3.5
	1.85	4.7	3.42
	1.83	4.7	3.4	Watch
	1.7	4.2	3.6
	1.86	4.57	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↑ (1.81)	4.5 ↑ (4.47)	3.53 (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ottawa Senators
52.1%

Draw
21%

San Jose Sharks
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

21.1%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

21.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Ottawa Senators have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

San Jose Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ottawa Senators than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Sharks than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Ottawa Senators - San Jose Sharks Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 5 - 50%). San Jose (votes: 5 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5, OT - San Jose (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Period - San Jose (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 3rd Period - San Jose (3.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Period - San Jose (3.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Period - San Jose (3.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 3rd Period - San Jose (2.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Period - San Jose (2.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Ottawa Senators will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Ottawa (votes: 5 - 29.4%). San Jose (votes: 12 - 70.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Ullmark L. (G)	93. Brossoit L. (G)
2. Zub A.	3. Klingberg J.
72. Chabot T.	9. Orlov D.
28. Giroux C.	2. Smith W.
18. Stutzle T.	71. Celebrini M.
19. Batherson D.	51. Graf C.
Line 2
10. Spence J.	85. Mukhamadullin S.
43. Kleven T.	38. Ferraro M.
71. Greig R.	44. Sherwood K.
24. Cozens D.	21. Wennberg A.
7. Tkachuk B.	81. Gaudette A.
Line 3
33. Matinpalo N.	5. Desharnais V.
48. Gilbert D.	6. Dickinson S.
22. Amadio M.	73. Toffoli T.
12. Pinto S.	77. Misa M.
21. Cousins N.	72. Eklund W.
Line 4
20. Zetterlund F.	84. Regenda P.
89. Eller L.	63. Ostapchuk Z.
37. Foegele W.	23. Goodrow B.
Substitutes
47. Reimer J. (G)	33. Nedeljkovic A. (G)
Coaches
. Green T.	. Warsofsky R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
01:42, Stutzle T. (2 min),
04:05, 0 - 1, Ferraro M. (G), Mukhamadullin S. (A),
06:17, Klingberg J. (2 min),
07:33, 1 - 1, Batherson D. (G),
14:43, 1 - 2, Toffoli T. (G), Ferraro M. (A), Mukhamadullin S. (A2)
19:19, Desharnais V. (2 min),
2nd Period (3 - 1)
04:31, 2 - 2, Foegele W. (G), Amadio M. (A),
10:46, 2 - 3, Graf C. (G), Celebrini M. (A), Dickinson S. (A2)
12:03, Orlov D. (2 min),
13:40, 3 - 3, Zetterlund F. (G), Spence J. (A),
14:45, 4 - 3, Kleven T. (G), Zetterlund F. (A), Foegele W. (A2)
18:58, Zub A. (2 min),
3rd Period (3 - 1)
03:28, 4 - 4, Misa M. (G), Toffoli T. (A), Desharnais V. (A2)
13:08, 5 - 4, Batherson D. (G), Zub A. (A), Giroux C. (A2)
14:50, 6 - 4, Cozens D. (G), Tkachuk B. (A),
17:43, 7 - 4, Tkachuk B. (G), Amadio M. (A), Zub A. (A2)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 4.

Ottawa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

San Jose's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ottawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ottawa is the team to beat.

There will not play in Ottawa: Jensen N. (Lower-Body Injury) Sanderson J. (Upper-Body Injury)

There will not play in San Jose: Askarov Y. (Lower-Body Injury) Couture L. (Groin Injury) Price C. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in San Jose: Dellandrea T. (Lower-Body Injury)

We predict that Ottawa will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ottawa won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 68:61. (average 3.4:3.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ottawa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 45:28. (average 4.5:2.8).

Outrights of NHL for now

Ottawa Senators: 2.53% San Jose Sharks: 1.96%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ottawa Senators
NHL
14.03.26	Ottawa Senators - Anaheim Ducks	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Ottawa Senators - Montreal Canadiens	2:3 ✺
09.03.26	Vancouver Canucks - Ottawa Senators	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Seattle Kraken - Ottawa Senators	4:7 ✺
05.03.26	Calgary Flames - Ottawa Senators	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLWWW
- San Jose Sharks
NHL
14.03.26	Montreal Canadiens - San Jose Sharks	2:4 ✺
12.03.26	Boston Bruins - San Jose Sharks	2:4 ✺
10.03.26	Buffalo Sabres - San Jose Sharks	6:3 ✺
07.03.26	San Jose Sharks - New York Islanders	1:2 OT ✺
06.03.26	San Jose Sharks - St. Louis Blues	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

NHL
22.11.25	San Jose Sharks - Ottawa Senators	2:3
01.03.25	Ottawa Senators - San Jose Sharks	5:3
27.11.24	San Jose Sharks - Ottawa Senators	3:4
09.03.24	San Jose Sharks - Ottawa Senators	2:1
13.01.24	Ottawa Senators - San Jose Sharks	5:4
03.12.22	Ottawa Senators - San Jose Sharks	5:2
21.11.22	San Jose Sharks - Ottawa Senators	5:1

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