The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Owen Sound Attack 29.1%
Draw 18.8%
Sarnia Sting 52.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
30.6%
19.8%
49.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.1%
19.9%
50%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Owen Sound Attack has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Sarnia Sting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Owen Sound Attack than the current prediction. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarnia Sting than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Owen Sound Attack - Sarnia Sting Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Leenders R. (G)
34. Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G)
4. Arnett E.
6. Aucoin C. (A)
17. Atkinson D.
33. Aucoin K.
8. Bell C.
18. Campbell D.
90. Bernat L.
13. Chadwick C.
5. Brown J. (A)
84. Challenger T.
81. Cernak R.
17. Di Iorio A. (C)
16. Crawford J. (A)
41. Emerton C. (A)
10. Delisle M. (A)
71. Gaughan C.
9. Kindree E.
27. Gulbrandsen J.
88. Lisi A.
26. Hawery L.
44. Manzo A.
53. Holmes P.
21. Mbuyi P. (C)
9. Jaworski S.
23. Merrick C.
24. Katolicky S.
34. Nansi H.
93. Lammens B.
7. Prud'homme L.
55. Manza M.
77. Royston W.
8. Sewell C.
13. Taylor A.
49. Spencer L.
15. Zilinski M.
14. Van Volsen J. (A)
11. Walos E.
Substitutes
72. Nouwens M. (G)
31. Osipenko K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
03:21, 1 - 0, Prud'homme L. (G),
04:49, 1 - 1, Gulbrandsen J. (G), Katolicky S. (A), Walos E. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:25, 2 - 1, Mbuyi P. (G), Brown J. (A), Leenders R. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 2)
07:10, 2 - 2, Aucoin C. (G), Emerton C. (A),
16:16, 3 - 2, Delisle M. (G), Nansi H. (A), Bell C. (A2)
18:48, 4 - 2, Mbuyi P. (G), Manzo A. (A), Delisle M. (A2)
19:49, 4 - 3, Chadwick C. (G), Gaughan C. (A),
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 10th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Owen won 4.
In recent outings, Owen has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Sarnia has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sarnia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
Our forecast points to a victory for Owen in today's match, at odds of 2.36.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Owen has recorded 14 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 86:63 (averaging 4.3:3.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Owen against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 52:32 goals (averaging 4.7:2.9 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Owen Sound Attack - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 30.57%, but this team recently wins 15% of matches with these odds.
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Leenders R. (G) 
Tkach-Tkachenko I. (G) 
Aucoin C. (A) 
Bernat L. 
Gulbrandsen J. 
Katolicky S. 
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