Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 3 December 2024, Tuesday

Location: Eisarena Salzburg (Salzburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Sweden	Viaplay


	Red Bull Salzburg		Färjestad

	1	X	2
	4	5	1.5	Watch
	4.4	5	1.53
	4.65	4.91	1.58
	4.59	4.45	1.57
	4.47	4.78	1.57
	4.27	4.75	1.62	Watch
	4.65	4.91	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.43 ↓ (4.71)	4.83 ↓ (4.84)	1.56 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
21%

Draw
19.3%

Färjestad
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

19.3%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

15.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Färjestad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Färjestad than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Färjestad, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Red Bull Salzburg - Färjestad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Tolvanen A. (G)	33. Lagace M. (G)
24. Murphy R.	26. Nystrom J.
22. Robertson D.	75. Groleau J.
3. Schneider P.	29. Steen O.
70. Nissner B.	13. Kellman J.
5. Raffl T.	98. Studenic M.
Line 2
2. Lewington T.	32. Nygren M.
39. Genoway Ch.	73. Mattsson A.
96. Huber M.	92. Forsell L.
19. Rowe A.	59. Johansson L.
26. Hochkofler P.	71. Lodin V.
Line 3
4. Nienhuis N.	52. Tornberg A.
18. Stapelfeld P.	7. Bergkvist A.
21. Bourke T.	34. Lindqvist M.
48. Thaler L.	96. Tomasek D.
17. Kosmachuk S.	16. Ljungkrantz A.
Line 4
43. Sinn P.	15. Berglund J.
67. Wimmer P.	72. Solberg S.
55. Schreier L.	14. Bjorklund H.
16. Auer L.	20. Westfalt M.
79. Krening P.	28. Alba E.
Substitutes
30. Kickert D. (G)	50. Clara D. (G)
Coaches
. David O.	. Mitell T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
10:36, Lindqvist M. (2 min),
16:29, 1 - 0, Murphy R. (G),
17:02, Genoway Ch. (2 min),
17:02, 1 - 1, Studenic M. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:01, Stapelfeld P. (2 min),
07:20, Schreier L. (2 min),
08:24, 2 - 1, Nienhuis N. (G), Schneider P. (A),
12:38, Tornberg A. (2 min),
14:37, Groleau J. (5 min),
17:02, 3 - 1, Kosmachuk S. (G), Robertson D. (A), Schneider P. (A2)
19:14, Bjorklund H. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 0)
01:56, Tomasek D. (2 min),
04:32, Hochkofler P. (2 min),
13:31, Lewington T. (2 min),
13:31, Lodin V. (2 min),
14:37, Johansson L. (2 min),
14:37, Stapelfeld P. (2 min),

Preview

1st leg.

Red Bull Salzburg is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Färjestad in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Färjestad is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Ice Hockey League
01.12.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Black Wings Linz	5:2 ✺
29.11.24	Olimpija Ljubljana - Red Bull Salzburg	2:1 penalties ✺
27.11.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Pioneers Vorarlberg	5:1 ✺
24.11.24	Red Bull Salzburg - TWK Innsbruck	4:3 ✺
22.11.24	Fehérvár AV 19 - Red Bull Salzburg	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWWW
- Farjestads BK
SHL
30.11.24	Leksand - Färjestad	3:4 penalties ✺
28.11.24	Malmö Redhawks - Färjestad	2:4 ✺
26.11.24	Färjestad - Växjö Lakers	4:0 ✺
23.11.24	Färjestad - HV71	7:2 ✺
21.11.24	Frölunda - Färjestad	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWWW

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