Match Info

Mestis

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Veikkaus Arena (Helsinki) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3


	Jokerit		IPK

	1	X	2
	1.37	5.5	6.1
	1.38	4.51	4.68
	1.52	4.74	4.95	Watch
	1.36	5.35	6.01	Watch
	1.36	5.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.52)	5.17 ↑ (4.74)	5.35 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jokerit
65.3%

Draw
17.7%

IPK
17.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

61.4%

19.7%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.4%

19.2%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jokerit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

IPK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jokerit than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for IPK than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Jokerit - IPK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Vehvilainen V. (G)	35. Rovio T. (G)
73. Tuhkanen O.	66. Valtola K.
52. Tuomola R.	12. Mikkonen O. (C)
40. Suni O.	9. Vesaaja J.
22. Forslund A.	26. Hattunen M.
74. Henriksson J.	67. Curri R.
Line 2
12. Tumanovs M.	49. Viirret V.
47. Forsblom S. (C)	4. Koskela V.
29. Kallio B.	28. Samitis K.
92. Mustonen A. (A)	11. Mustonen E.
25. Leskinen V.
Line 3
53. Elorinne A. (A)	55. Lahtinen O. (A)
71. Rikkila H.	65. Haakana S.
80. Vainikainen V.	17. Vartiainen T.
19. Nalli M.	20. Ring L.
26. Kangasniemi O.	7. Suhonen P. (A)
Line 4
77. Virtanen J.	2. Junkkari J.
20. Lahnaviik R.	39. Korkiakoski T.
16. Henritius T.	64. Rantanen J.
14. Liuksiala J.	19. Levanen E.
Substitutes
37. Heikkeri S. (G)	70. Vopravil S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (3 - 1)
04:29, 1 - 0, Henriksson J. (G), Forslund A. (A), Tuomola R. (A2)
08:08, 2 - 0, Lahnaviik R. (G), Tuomola R. (A),
15:26, 3 - 0, Mustonen A. (G), Nalli M. (A), Kangasniemi O. (A2)
16:56, 3 - 1, Lahtinen O. (G), Haakana S. (A), Vesaaja J. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
06:39, 3 - 2, Ring L. (G), Koskela V. (A), Vartiainen T. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:18, 4 - 2, Suni O. (G), Forslund A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jokerit won 4.

Jokerit has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

IPK is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

IPK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Jokerit has had a series of away games.

In this match, Jokerit is considered a favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Jokerit won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 51:37. (average 3.2:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Jokerit won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 36:19. (average 4:2.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jokerit hockey
Finnish Mestis
21.11.25	Kiekko-Vantaa - Jokerit	0:6 ✺
15.11.25	Hermes Kokkola - Jokerit	1:6 ✺
14.11.25	RoKi - Jokerit	1:4 ✺
07.11.25	Jokerit - Imatran Ketterä	2:1 OT ✺
01.11.25	Kiekko-Vantaa - Jokerit	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWWW
- Iisalmen Peli-Karhut
Finnish Mestis
26.11.25	Kiekko-Vantaa - IPK	2:3 OT ✺
21.11.25	IPK - Joensuun Kiekko-Pojat	3:2 ✺
15.11.25	KeuPa - IPK	0:3 ✺
14.11.25	IPK - TuTo	3:2 OT ✺
11.11.25	Hermes Kokkola - IPK	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Mestis
11.10.25	IPK - Jokerit	3:2 OT
11.09.25	Jokerit - IPK	4:1
31.03.25	Jokerit - IPK	3:2 OT
29.03.25	IPK - Jokerit	2:5
28.03.25	Jokerit - IPK	9:3
26.03.25	IPK - Jokerit	3:2 OT
24.03.25	Jokerit - IPK	5:1

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