Match Info

Liiga

Date: 21 October 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Tampere Deck Arena (Tampere) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	18:30	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	17:30	TV4 Play


	Tappara		Ässät

	1	X	2
	2.2	4	2.65
	2.25	3.75	2.70
	2.25	3.85	2.95	Watch
	2.24	3.71	2.81
	2.21	3.87	2.81	Watch
	2.19	3.6	2.75
	2.21	4.05	2.75	Watch
	2.19	3.75	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↑ (1.8)	3.82 ↓ (4.27)	2.77 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tappara
42%

Draw
24.4%

Ässät
33.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.1%

21.9%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

22.9%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tappara's form might have worsened.

Ässät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ässät's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tappara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ässät than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ässät, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Tappara - Ässät Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Tappara will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tappara (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
77. Metsola J. (G)	30. Bednar J. (G)
26. Mattila Je.	79. Nikkila P. (A)
23. Jokipakka J.	61. Jurgens C.
11. Simontaival K.	47. Pinard S.
22. Rasanen A.	10. Hillis C.
78. Rautiainen B.	34. Doucet A.
Line 2
72. Kulonummi K.	6. Prow E.
38. Almari N.	37. Maatta R. (A)
21. Lindqvist M.	8. Olofsson J.
62. Mattila Ju. (A)	14. Sebok B.
94. Vanhatalo V.	63. Kostilainen S.
Line 3
63. Tuulola J. (A)	55. Riihinen P.
33. Strandell O.	80. Nurmi P.
87. Fabre D.	26. Kim A.
89. Suvanto O.	19. Juhola P.
25. Haapala H.	92. Alasiurua A.
Line 4
43. Karvonen J.	7. Pulli J.
17. Pavel O.	18. Ylitalo O.
42. Rauhala O. (C)	74. Tiivola P. (C)
40. Sallinen T.	36. Bjorkqvist K.
Substitutes
30. Heljanko C. (G)	44. Skinnari A.
41. Nykanen J.	33. Taponen R. (G)
Coaches
. Jalonen K.	. Pikkarainen J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
07:08, Nikkila P. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
12:17, Mattila Je. (2 min),
13:10, 1 - 0, Suvanto O. (G),
14:17, Alasiurua A. (2 min),
14:34, 2 - 0, Jokipakka J. (G), Lindqvist M. (A), Rautiainen B. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:26, 3 - 0, Tuulola J. (G), Simontaival K. (A), Rautiainen B. (A2)
09:07, Sebok B. (2 min),

Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 11th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 4th in the Promotion - Liiga Playoffs - Quarter - finals).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Ässät could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tappara holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tappara has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 54:57 (averaging 2.7:2.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tappara against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 37:29 goals (averaging 3.1:2.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
8	Assat	19	9	1	2	7	44:47	31
10	Tappara	18	7	2	3	6	51:43	28

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Tappara: 22.27%

Last Results with these Odds

Tappara - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 52.12%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Ässät - the odds 3.61 are the expected chance of winning is 25.95%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tappara hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
20.10.26	KooKoo - Tappara	3:2 penalties ✺
17.10.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Tappara	3:2 ✺
16.10.26	Tappara - Lukko	1:2 ✺
Champions League Ice Hockey
13.10.26	GKS Tychy - Tappara	3:6 ✺
Finnish SM-liiga
10.10.26	Tappara - TPS	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWW
- Ässät hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
17.10.26	Ässät - TPS	2:4 ✺
16.10.26	Jokerit - Ässät	2:4 ✺
14.10.26	KalPa - Ässät	0:1 ✺
09.10.26	Ässät - HPK	2:3 penalties ✺
07.10.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Ässät	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
10.01.26	Ässät - Tappara	1:5
09.01.26	Tappara - Ässät	6:2
11.10.25	Tappara - Ässät	2:1
10.10.25	Ässät - Tappara	3:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
09.08.25	Tappara - Ässät	2:3 penalties
Finnish SM-liiga
22.02.25	Tappara - Ässät	3:2
28.12.24	Ässät - Tappara	5:0

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