Match Info

Liiga

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Tampere Deck Arena (Tampere)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	Tappara		SaiPa

	1	X	2
	1.63	4.5	4
	1.67	4.40	3.90
	1.75	4.3	4.05	Watch
	1.69	4.19	4.11
	1.7	4.29	4.13	Watch
	1.66	4.1	4
	1.69	4.45	4.05	Watch
	1.68	4.2	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)	4.3 ↓ (4.58)	4.02 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tappara
55.3%

Draw
21.6%

SaiPa
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

20.4%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

20.8%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tappara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Tappara - SaiPa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
30. Heljanko C. (G)	30. Piiroinen K. (G)
26. Mattila Je.	6. Airola S. (A)
23. Jokipakka J.	7. Niinisaari S. (C)
88. Blichfeld J.	10. Emanuelsson E.
22. Rasanen A. (A)	28. Intonen A.
21. Lindqvist M.	92. Zezelj A.
Line 2
72. Kulonummi K.	2. Peski A.
38. Almari N.	50. Salminen S. (A)
11. Simontaival K.	62. Tauslahti M.
89. Suvanto O.	41. Zabaneh N.
25. Haapala H.	52. Palmu P.
Line 3
63. Tuulola J. (A)	14. Kramer B.
33. Strandell O.	55. Trejbal O.
28. Wia W.	70. Naukkarinen J.
42. Rauhala O. (C)	34. Perttu M.
17. Pavel O.	75. Siikanen P.
Line 4
5. Rasanen I.	22. Aho K.
41. Nykanen J.	17. Svensk V.
40. Sallinen T.	81. Klintrup E.
87. Fabre D.	57. Hokkanen O.
	18. Heikkila J.
Substitutes
32. Hovinen N. (G)	31. Grigals G. (G)
Coaches
. Jalonen K.	. Helminen R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 3)
05:13, 1 - 0, Haapala H. (G), Suvanto O. (A), Simontaival K. (A2)
09:11, Zabaneh N. (2 min),
11:28, 1 - 1, Siikanen P. (G), Zabaneh N. (A),
12:47, 1 - 2, Emanuelsson E. (G), Trejbal O. (A), Intonen A. (A2)
16:22, Jokipakka J. (2 min),
16:39, 1 - 3, Siikanen P. (G), Palmu P. (A), Kramer B. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
02:00, Niinisaari S. (2 min),
07:02, Salminen S. (2 min),
08:54, Aho K. (2 min),
18:13, 2 - 3, Simontaival K. (G), Suvanto O. (A), Kulonummi K. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
03:45, Kramer B. (2 min),
14:27, (2 min),
15:35, Salminen S. (2 min),
18:19, 2 - 4, Perttu M. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.

Tappara has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

SaiPa is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

SaiPa may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tappara has faced a series of away games on the road.

Tappara carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Tappara has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 78:40 (averaging 3.9:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Tappara against this opponent, the record stands at 10 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 47:9 goals (averaging 4.7:0.9 per game).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Tappara: 25.28% Saipa: 4.07%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
9	Tappara	11	5	2	0	4	32:24	19

Last Results with these Odds

Tappara - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.67%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tappara hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
24.09.26	Lukko - Tappara	3:2 ✺
22.09.26	Tappara - Kärpät	4:0 ✺
19.09.26	Jokerit - Tappara	0:6 ✺
17.09.26	TPS - Tappara	4:0 ✺
15.09.26	Pelicans - Tappara	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLW
- SaiPa hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
25.09.26	Ässät - SaiPa	0:5 ✺
23.09.26	SaiPa - Ässät	1:2 penalties ✺
19.09.26	SaiPa - KooKoo	2:1 OT ✺
18.09.26	KooKoo - SaiPa	0:4 ✺
15.09.26	SaiPa - Kiekko-Espoo	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
01.09.26	SaiPa - Tappara	4:2
14.03.26	SaiPa - Tappara	6:4
30.01.26	Tappara - SaiPa	6:1
28.10.25	Tappara - SaiPa	5:0
17.09.25	SaiPa - Tappara	2:3
21.12.24	Tappara - SaiPa	1:0
20.12.24	SaiPa - Tappara	3:2 penalties

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