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Current Win Probability
Tappara 63.1%
Draw 19.2%
Kiekko-Espoo 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.1%
20.1%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.9%
20.8%
17.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Tappara have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tappara than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Tappara - Kiekko Espoo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Heljanko C. (G)
30. Rimpinen P. (G)
21. Matinmikko A.
51. Nakyva K.
23. Jokipakka J.
3. Keskitalo M. (A)
11. Simontaival K.
17. Talvitie A.
20. Keskinen O.
78. Tuomaala A.
27. Tanus K.
28. Hamalainen J.
Line 2
15. Andersson J.
21. Peltomaki N.
26. Mattila Je.
55. Aronsson A.
25. Haapala H.
4. Kangasniemi I.
89. Suvanto O.
8. Hillis C.
78. Rautiainen B.
16. Vaisanen J.
Line 3
63. Tuulola J. (A)
7. Jurmo J.
6. Brickley D.
34. Laakso A.
82. Tuulola E.
87. Komarov L.
42. Rauhala O. (C)
14. Stevens J. (A)
51. Sylvegard E.
40. Sallinen T.
Line 4
44. Juolevi O.
26. Kulonummi K.
41. Nykanen J.
25. Puolanne E.
62. Mattila Ju. (A)
75. Virtanen S. (C)
17. Pavel O.
18. Leppanen O.
Substitutes
77. Metsola J. (G)
35. Rajaniemi S. (G)
Coaches
. Gronborg R.
. Aho J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
00:50, 0 - 1, Kangasniemi I. (G), Hillis C. (A), Vaisanen J. (A2)
14:41, 0 - 2, Vaisanen J. (G), Kangasniemi I. (A), Hillis C. (A2)
17:47, 1 - 2, Keskinen O. (G), Tanus K. (A), Brickley D. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 2)
03:11, 1 - 3, Tuomaala A. (G), Hamalainen J. (A), Talvitie A. (A2)
03:41, Keskinen O. (2 min),
06:46, 2 - 3, Keskinen O. (G), Simontaival K. (A), Suvanto O. (A2)
15:28, Rauhala O. (2 min),
15:28, Leppanen O. (2 min),
19:49, 2 - 4, Kangasniemi I. (G), Nakyva K. (A), Aronsson A. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:08, 3 - 4, Brickley D. (G), Tuulola J. (A), Tuulola E. (A2)
09:10, Talvitie A. (2 min),
09:39, Keskinen O. (2 min),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Kiekko-Espoo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Tappara is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Tappara will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Tappara won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 42:36. (average 3.2:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tappara won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 3.5:2.2).
Finland
Sweden
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Heljanko C. (G) 
Andersson J. 
Hillis C. 
Brickley D. 
Pavel O. 
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