Match Info

Liiga

Date: 24 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Olvi Areena (Kuopio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play


	KalPa		Kiekko-Espoo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.8	2.65
	2.42	3.95	2.6	Watch
	2.46	3.76	2.56	Watch
	2.25	3.7	2.5
	2.4	4.05	2.48	Watch
	2.1	3.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (1.88)	3.85 ↑ (3.78)	2.63 ↓ (3.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KalPa
40.2%

Draw
24.3%

Kiekko-Espoo
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

24.7%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

24.9%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that KalPa's form might have worsened.

Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kiekko-Espoo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for KalPa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kiekko-Espoo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

KalPa - Kiekko Espoo Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. KalPa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kiekko-Espoo will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
31. Kerkola P. (G)	30. Rimpinen P. (G)
6. Westerlund F. (C)	51. Nakyva K.
97. Kanak L.	3. Keskitalo M. (A)
20. Klemetti A.	25. Puolanne E.
12. Saarelainen J.	78. Tuomaala A.
46. Soderlund T.	28. Hamalainen J.
Line 2
8. Ruotsalainen V.	21. Peltomaki N.
18. Gallet H.	7. Jurmo J.
22. Borchardt C.	4. Kangasniemi I.
86. Kombe K.	8. Hillis C.
42. Kapanen K.	16. Vaisanen J.
Line 3
52. Tornberg A.	26. Kulonummi K.
7. Mononen V.	34. Laakso A.
72. Nyman L.	87. Komarov L.
14. Lantta J. (A)	14. Stevens J. (A)
41. Kononen J.	40. Sallinen T.
Line 4
55. Lappalainen L. (A)	23. Heinanen A.
48. Timofejev D.	17. Talvitie A.
25. Pakarinen R.	75. Virtanen S. (C)
15. Korkiakoski T.	18. Leppanen O.
Substitutes
47. Boyko T. (G)	35. Rajaniemi S. (G)
Coaches
. Tervonen S.	. Aho J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
09:13, 1 - 0, Lappalainen L. (G), Soderlund T. (A), Korkiakoski T. (A2)
14:44, Hillis C. (2 min),
14:58, 1 - 1, Virtanen S. (G), Hamalainen J. (A), Keskitalo M. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
05:50, Kangasniemi I. (2 min),
08:11, Gallet H. (2 min),
19:57, 2 - 1, Soderlund T. (G), Saarelainen J. (A), Klemetti A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
09:25, Soderlund T. (2 min),
10:37, Komarov L. (2 min),
16:02, Soderlund T. (2 min),
17:05, 2 - 2, Kulonummi K. (G), Kangasniemi I. (A), Vaisanen J. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
01:24, 3 - 2, Soderlund T. (G), Saarelainen J. (A),

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 4.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Kiekko-Espoo has had a series of home games.

KalPa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 2.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 2.7:3).

Outrights of Finnish SM-liiga for now

Kiekko-Espoo: 1.71%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
7	Kiekko-Espoo	13	5	1	3	4	42:32	20
13	KalPa	11	4	0	1	6	27:29	13

Last Results with these Odds

KalPa - the odds 1.88 are the expected chance of winning is 49.76%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Kiekko-Espoo - the odds 3.67 are the expected chance of winning is 25.49%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KalPa hockey
Finnish SM-liiga
21.02.26	KalPa - Ilves	3:4 ✺
19.02.26	HPK - KalPa	2:1 penalties ✺
14.02.26	Kärpät - KalPa	3:1 ✺
13.02.26	Kärpät - KalPa	2:5 ✺
10.02.26	KalPa - Pelicans	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWW
- Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga
21.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - HIFK	4:0 ✺
18.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Lukko	2:3 OT ✺
14.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Ässät	4:1 ✺
13.02.26	Mikkelin Jukurit - Kiekko-Espoo	3:2 penalties ✺
11.02.26	Kiekko-Espoo - Mikkelin Jukurit	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish SM-liiga
14.01.26	Kiekko-Espoo - KalPa	1:2 OT
11.10.25	Kiekko-Espoo - KalPa	1:2
16.09.25	KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo	4:2
07.03.25	KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo	2:4
25.01.25	Kiekko-Espoo - KalPa	0:3
21.12.24	KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo	2:3 penalties
28.09.24	Kiekko-Espoo - KalPa	1:2 penalties

KalPa - Kiekko-Espoo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide