Match Info
LiigaDate: 28 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Kivikylan Areena (Rauma)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
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Lukko |
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Pelicans |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
- The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Lukko
64.9% | Draw
18.6% | Pelicans
16.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lukko that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+4.7%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1 
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Lineups
| Line 1 |
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32.  Raanta A. (G)
| 1.  Emond Z. (G)
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9.  Stenqvist J.
| 4.  Johannesen J.
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38. Almari N.
| 47.  Jordan M. (A)
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16. Beaucage A.
| 37. Dudas A.
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93. Ruohomaa M. (A)
| 95.  Batna O.
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24. Krannila J.
| 10. Karvinen R.
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| Line 2 |
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86. Gelinas E. (C)
| 77. Kayhko O.
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5. Peters A.
| 61. Jurgens C. (C)
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88. Morand A.
| 74. Teutari E.
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14. Intonen A.
| 23. Forsberg C. (A)
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18. Jandric S.
| 82. Kettunen A.
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| Line 3 |
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34. Viitasalo N.
| 87. Nieminen D.
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56. Olsson A.
| 83. Luhanka E.
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27. Westerholm Po.
| 28. Zetterberg L.
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17. Westerholm Pa.
| 29. Vaananen M.
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25. Saarela A.
| 96. Kumpula J.
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| Line 4 |
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40.  Daschke D.
| 55. Falk H.
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48. Ikonen H. (A)
| 93. Nieminen K.
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10. Joki A.
| 15. Pohjalainen A.
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47. Haapanen T.
| 20. Hirvonen K.
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| Substitutes |
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30. Salonen D. (G)
| 32. Bartosak P. (G)
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| Coaches |
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. Lamsa T.
| . Kapanen S.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 11:21, Falk H. (2 min),
- 18:56, Johannesen J. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 2)
- 01:00, 1 - 0, Ruohomaa M. (G), Beaucage A. (A), Stenqvist J. (A2)
- 02:14, 1 - 1, Kumpula J. (G),
- 07:46, 1 - 2, Batna O. (G), Jurgens C. (A), Karvinen R. (A2)
- 16:15, (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 3)
- 01:32, Westerholm Pa. (2 min),
- 11:52, Jandric S. (2 min),
- 12:00, 1 - 3, Karvinen R. (G), Nieminen D. (A),
- 13:23, Zetterberg L. (2 min),
- 14:13, Beaucage A. (2 min),
- 14:13, 1 - 4, Karvinen R. (Penalty Shot),
- 15:25, 2 - 4, Morand A. (G), Saarela A. (A), Krannila J. (A2)
- 17:26, 2 - 5, Hirvonen K. (G), Teutari E. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 3.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.Pelicans may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Pelicans has had a series of home games. In this match, Lukko is the team to beat.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 50:50. (average 2.5:2.5).Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 2.3:2.4).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Finnish SM-liiga | | | 13.01.26 | Lukko - Pelicans | 4:3 OT | | 27.12.25 | Pelicans - Lukko | 1:5 | | 11.10.25 | Pelicans - Lukko | 2:0 | | 08.01.25 | Pelicans - Lukko | 2:5 | | 21.12.24 | Lukko - Pelicans | 2:5 | | 02.11.24 | Lukko - Pelicans | 1:3 | | 20.09.24 | Pelicans - Lukko | 0:4 |
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