Match Info

Date: 16 October 2022, Sunday


	Zauralie Kurgan		Lada Togliatti

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.55	1.84
	3.52	3.5	1.88
	3.54	3.95	1.85	Watch
	3.35	3.45	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.45 ↓ (4.16)	3.61 ↓ (4.2)	1.89 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zauralie Kurgan
26.4%

Draw
25.3%

Lada Togliatti
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

22.2%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

22.4%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zauralie Kurgan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lada Togliatti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zauralie Kurgan than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lada Togliatti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zauralie Kurgan - Lada Togliatti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zauralie won 2.

Recent matches Zauralie is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lada is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Lada will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Zauralie won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 20-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Zauralie won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zauralie Kurgan
VHL
14.10.22	Zauralie Kurgan - AKM	3:1 ✺
12.10.22	Zauralie Kurgan - Zvezda Moscow	1:2 ✺
07.10.22	Omskie Krylia - Zauralie Kurgan	2:4 ✺
05.10.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Zauralie Kurgan	1:3 ✺
02.10.22	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Zauralie Kurgan	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.8 WLWWL
- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
14.10.22	Chelmet - Lada Togliatti	0:1 ✺
12.10.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Lada Togliatti	3:4 penalties ✺
04.10.22	Lada Togliatti - Buran Voronezh	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Lada Togliatti - Rostov	2:3 OT ✺
28.09.22	Bars Kazan - Lada Togliatti	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
30.01.22	Zauralie Kurgan - Lada Togliatti	0:3
25.09.21	Lada Togliatti - Zauralie Kurgan	3:4 penalties
04.02.21	Zauralie Kurgan - Lada Togliatti	2:5
18.09.20	Lada Togliatti - Zauralie Kurgan	5:2
27.09.19	Lada Togliatti - Zauralie Kurgan	1:4
07.12.18	Zauralie Kurgan - Lada Togliatti	2:3 OT
16.09.18	Lada Togliatti - Zauralie Kurgan	5:2

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