Match Info

Date: 14 October 2022, Friday


	Chelmet		Lada Togliatti

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.95	1.66
	3.84	3.93	1.71
	3.88	4.35	1.7	Watch
	3.9	4.1	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.84 ↑ (3)	4.08 ↑ (3.9)	1.69 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chelmet
23.7%

Draw
22.3%

Lada Togliatti
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

24.2%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

22.7%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chelmet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chelmet's form might have worsened.

Lada Togliatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lada Togliatti's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmet than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chelmet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lada Togliatti, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	25%	50%

Chelmet - Lada Togliatti Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Chelmet will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lada will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Chelmet won 1.

Recent matches Chelmet is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lada is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chelmet could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lada is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Chelmet won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 24-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Chelmet won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-18.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Chelmet
VHL
12.10.22	Chelmet - Bars Kazan	4:1 ✺
10.10.22	Chelmet - Zvezda Moscow	4:1 ✺
08.10.22	Chelmet - AKM	1:3 ✺
03.10.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Chelmet	1:2 ✺
30.09.22	Omskie Krylia - Chelmet	8:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWLWL
- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
12.10.22	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Lada Togliatti	3:4 penalties ✺
04.10.22	Lada Togliatti - Buran Voronezh	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Lada Togliatti - Rostov	2:3 OT ✺
28.09.22	Bars Kazan - Lada Togliatti	3:4 OT ✺
24.09.22	Lada Togliatti - Zvezda Moscow	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
01.02.22	Chelmet - Lada Togliatti	2:3
21.09.21	Lada Togliatti - Chelmet	5:2
06.02.21	Chelmet - Lada Togliatti	5:2
16.09.20	Lada Togliatti - Chelmet	3:1
03.10.19	Lada Togliatti - Chelmet	4:2
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
29.07.19	Chelmet - Lada Togliatti	0:1
VHL
09.12.18	Chelmet - Lada Togliatti	2:3

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