Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 17 February 2023, Friday


	Zvezda Moscow		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	1.19	7.36	11.1
	1.1	9.5	16.5	Watch
	1.13	7.6	15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.37)	8.15 ↑ (5.08)	14.2 ↑ (6.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda Moscow
82%

Draw
11.5%

Ermak Angarsk
6.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

18.4%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

18.2%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zvezda Moscow's performance.

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ermak Angarsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zvezda Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ermak Angarsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zvezda Moscow - Ermak Angarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zvezda Moscow won 4.

Zvezda Moscow is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Ermak is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ermak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Zvezda Moscow have a series of home games.

In this match Zvezda Moscow is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Zvezda Moscow to win the game is with odds 1.35.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Zvezda Moscow won 11 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 48-33.

Including matches at home between the teams Zvezda Moscow won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 23-13.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
15.02.23	Zvezda Moscow - Sokol Krasnoyarsk	6:2 ✺
13.02.23	Zvezda Moscow - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	Zvezda Moscow - Omskie Krylia	2:1 ✺
04.02.23	Zvezda Moscow - Lada Togliatti	2:3 OT ✺
02.02.23	Zvezda Moscow - Bars Kazan	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WWWLW
- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
15.02.23	AKM - Ermak Angarsk	5:0 ✺
13.02.23	Lada Togliatti - Ermak Angarsk	5:4 OT ✺
11.02.23	Bars Kazan - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 ✺
06.02.23	Ermak Angarsk - Rostov	3:2 ✺
04.02.23	Ermak Angarsk - Buran Voronezh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
04.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Zvezda Moscow	1:2
17.02.22	Ermak Angarsk - Zvezda Moscow	4:3
11.09.21	Zvezda Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	4:1
16.01.21	Zvezda Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	4:1
10.10.20	Ermak Angarsk - Zvezda Moscow	3:5
03.10.19	Zvezda Moscow - Ermak Angarsk	4:2
09.01.19	Ermak Angarsk - Zvezda Moscow	3:4 penalties

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