Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 4 February 2023, Saturday


	Zvezda Moscow		Lada Togliatti

	1	X	2
	4.57	3.81	1.69
	4.1	4.25	1.68	Watch
	4.3	4	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↓ (5.3)	4.02 ↓ (4.4)	1.67 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda Moscow
21.4%

Draw
23.1%

Lada Togliatti
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

21.2%

61.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

20.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Lada Togliatti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lada Togliatti might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lada Togliatti than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lada Togliatti could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Zvezda Moscow - Lada Togliatti Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Zvezda Moscow won 1.

Zvezda Moscow is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Lada is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zvezda Moscow could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lada is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Zvezda Moscow won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 25-34.

Including matches at home between the teams Zvezda Moscow won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
02.02.23	Zvezda Moscow - Bars Kazan	4:3 penalties ✺
25.01.23	Rostov - Zvezda Moscow	3:2 ✺
23.01.23	Buran Voronezh - Zvezda Moscow	3:0 ✺
18.01.23	Zvezda Moscow - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	6:0 ✺
16.01.23	Zvezda Moscow - Chelmet	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWL
- HC Lada Togliatti
VHL
02.02.23	AKM - Lada Togliatti	5:7 ✺
29.01.23	Lada Togliatti - Bars Kazan	3:1 ✺
21.01.23	Rostov - Lada Togliatti	1:0 ✺
19.01.23	Buran Voronezh - Lada Togliatti	2:4 ✺
14.01.23	Lada Togliatti - Yuzhny Ural Orsk	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
24.09.22	Lada Togliatti - Zvezda Moscow	4:1
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
25.08.22	Zvezda Moscow - Lada Togliatti	3:5
VHL
09.12.21	Lada Togliatti - Zvezda Moscow	5:4 OT
11.11.21	Zvezda Moscow - Lada Togliatti	1:4
27.01.21	Lada Togliatti - Zvezda Moscow	2:3
29.09.20	Zvezda Moscow - Lada Togliatti	2:4
29.11.19	Zvezda Moscow - Lada Togliatti	3:1

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