Match Info

RUSSIA: VHL

Date: 11 February 2023, Saturday


	Bars Kazan		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.74	8.75
	1.19	6.9	10.75	Watch
	1.25	5.6	9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.54)	6.08 ↑ (4.43)	9.5 ↑ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bars Kazan
74.9%

Draw
15.3%

Ermak Angarsk
9.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.7%

21.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

23.4%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bars Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bars Kazan's performance.

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ermak Angarsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bars Kazan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ermak Angarsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bars Kazan - Ermak Angarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bars won 4.

Bars is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Ermak is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bars could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Bars have a series of guest games.

In this match Bars is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Bars won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 46-50.

Including matches at home between the teams Bars won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 25-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Bars Kazan
VHL
02.02.23	Zvezda Moscow - Bars Kazan	4:3 penalties ✺
31.01.23	AKM - Bars Kazan	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Lada Togliatti - Bars Kazan	3:1 ✺
19.01.23	Rostov - Bars Kazan	5:2 ✺
17.01.23	Buran Voronezh - Bars Kazan	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLLW
- Ermak Angarsk
VHL
06.02.23	Ermak Angarsk - Rostov	3:2 ✺
04.02.23	Ermak Angarsk - Buran Voronezh	1:2 ✺
28.01.23	Yuzhny Ural Orsk - Ermak Angarsk	3:1 ✺
26.01.23	Chelmet - Ermak Angarsk	2:3 ✺
24.01.23	Zauralie Kurgan - Ermak Angarsk	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
08.09.22	Ermak Angarsk - Bars Kazan	2:3
27.12.21	Ermak Angarsk - Bars Kazan	1:2
25.10.21	Bars Kazan - Ermak Angarsk	6:5
02.12.20	Ermak Angarsk - Bars Kazan	5:3
22.11.20	Bars Kazan - Ermak Angarsk	2:1
30.10.19	Ermak Angarsk - Bars Kazan	4:7
04.02.19	Ermak Angarsk - Bars Kazan	3:1

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