Match Info
NRL - Round 24Date: 15 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)Referee: Raymond W. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Action |
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 |
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Brisbane Broncos |
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New Zealand Warriors |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.85 |
26 |
1.44 |
|
 |
3 |
18 |
1.45 |
|
 |
2.88 |
21 |
1.4 |
 Watch |
 |
2.75 |
|
1.44 |
|
 |
3.05 |
23 |
1.41 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.91 ↑
(2.72) |
17.6 ↓
(25.24) |
1.43 ↓
(1.49) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 46.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brisbane Broncos
31.2% | Draw
5.2% | New Zealand Warriors
63.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Brisbane Broncos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)New Zealand Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (-3%)Brisbane Broncos - New Zealand Warriors Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. New Zealand will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:27 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Walsh R.
| 1.  Nicoll-Klokstad C.
|
2. Karapani J.
| 2. Watene-Zelezniak D.
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3.  Staggs K.
| 3. Leiataua A.
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4.  Mariner D.
| 4. Halasima L.
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5. Anderson G.
| 5. Khan-Pereira A.
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6. Mam E.
| 6. Harris-Tavita C.
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7. Duffy T.
| 7. Metcalf L.
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8. Willison X.
| 8. Fisher-Harris J.
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9. Walters B.
| 9. Egan W.
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10. Haas P.
| 10. Barnett M.
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11. Hunt J.
| 11. Capewell K.
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12. Riki J.
| 12. Laban J.
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13. Carrigan P.
| 13. Clark E.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
14. Hunt B.
| 14. Healey S.
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15. Tawha A.
| 15. Stowers-Smith T.
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16. Gosiewski J.
| 16. Vaimauga D.
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17. Semu V.
| 17. Ieremia-Toeava E.
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18. Mozer B.
| 18. Tuaupiki T.
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20. Shibasaki G.
| 20. Pompey A.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Maguire M.
| . Webster A.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 20)
- 9', Laban J. (Try),
- 10', Metcalf L. (Missed Conversion),
- 14', Harris-Tavita C. (Try),
- 16', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Khan-Pereira A. (Try),
- 20', Metcalf L. (Conversion Goal),
- 26', Harris-Tavita C. (Penalty Goal),
- 39', Harris-Tavita C. (Penalty Goal),
- 2nd Half (6 - 20)
- 46', Nicoll-Klokstad C. (Try),
- 48', Harris-Tavita C. (Missed Conversion),
- 52', Watene-Zelezniak D. (Try),
- 54', Harris-Tavita C. (Conversion Goal),
- 56', Leiataua A. (Try),
- 57', Harris-Tavita C. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Willison X. (Try),
- 63', Duffy T. (Conversion Goal),
- 78', Halasima L. (Try),
- 79', Harris-Tavita C. (Missed Conversion),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 2.Brisbane has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).New Zealand is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).New Zealand may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, New Zealand is seen as the favorite. We predict that New Zealand will win today's game, with odds of 1.42.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 368:418. (average 18.4:20.9).Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 169:122. (average 24.1:17.4).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 17.05.26 | New Zealand Warriors - Brisbane Broncos | 42:12 | | 28.06.25 | Brisbane Broncos - New Zealand Warriors | 26:12 | | 19.04.25 | New Zealand Warriors - Brisbane Broncos | 20:18 OT | | 29.06.24 | New Zealand Warriors - Brisbane Broncos | 32:16 | | 23.09.23 | Brisbane Broncos - New Zealand Warriors | 42:12 | | 27.05.23 | New Zealand Warriors - Brisbane Broncos | 22:26 | | 02.04.22 | New Zealand Warriors - Brisbane Broncos | 20:6 |
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