Match Info
NRL - Round 22Date: 1 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: Suncorp Stadium (Brisbane)Referee: Atkins G. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV |
 Germany | Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+ |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 1 |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports Action, Sky Sports+ |
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 |
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Brisbane Broncos |
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Newcastle Knights |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.52 |
26 |
2.6 |
|
 |
1.55 |
18 |
2.7 |
|
 |
1.54 |
22.61 |
2.62 |
 Watch |
 |
1.54 |
21 |
2.59 |
|
 |
1.45 |
22 |
2.9 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.54) |
21.92 ↓
(22.61) |
2.68 ↑
(2.62) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 45.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Brisbane Broncos
61.1% | Draw
4.2% | Newcastle Knights
34.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Brisbane Broncos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brisbane Broncos than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brisbane Broncos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+4.7%)Brisbane Broncos - Newcastle Knights Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:20 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Walsh R.
| 1. Ponga K. (C)
|
2.  Karapani J.
| 2.  Young D.
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3.  Staggs K.
| 3. Gagai D.
|
4.  Mariner D.
| 4. Best B.
|
5. Anderson G.
| 5. Marzhew G.
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6. Mam E.
| 6. Sharpe F.
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7. Reynolds A. (C)
| 7. Smith S.
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8. Semu V.
| 8. Hopwood C.
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9. Paix C.
| 9. Crossland P.
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10. Haas P.
| 10. Mooney T.
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11. Willison X.
| 11. McEwen J.
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12. Riki J.
| 12. Manuleleua F.
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13. Carrigan P.
| 13. Croker M.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
14. Walters B.
| 15. Frizell T.
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15. Talty B.
| 16. Cant T.
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16. Hunt J.
| 17. Jones B.
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17. Hunt B.
| 18. Hunt F.
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19. Perham H.
| 19. Crouch L.
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20. Shibasaki G.
| 20. Winter T.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Maguire M.
| . Holbrook J.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 14)
- 3', Sharpe F. (Try),
- 5', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 8', Young D. (Try),
- 9', Smith S. (Missed Conversion),
- 33', Marzhew G. (Try),
- 35', Smith S. (Missed Conversion),
- 2nd Half (6 - 16)
- 47', Crossland P. (Try),
- 49', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Walsh R. (Try),
- 61', Walsh R. (Conversion Goal),
- 63', Marzhew G. (Try),
- 65', Smith S. (Missed Conversion),
- 76', Sharpe F. (Try),
- 77', Smith S. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 5.Brisbane has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Newcastle has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Newcastle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Brisbane could have a small edge in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Brisbane won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 594:336. (average 29.7:16.8).Including home matches between the teams, Brisbane won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 300:130. (average 37.5:16.3).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 24.08.25 | Newcastle Knights - Brisbane Broncos | 12:46 | | 20.07.24 | Newcastle Knights - Brisbane Broncos | 14:30 | | 10.06.23 | Brisbane Broncos - Newcastle Knights | 24:20 | | 13.08.22 | Brisbane Broncos - Newcastle Knights | 28:10 | | 19.05.22 | Newcastle Knights - Brisbane Broncos | 12:34 | | 04.09.21 | Brisbane Broncos - Newcastle Knights | 35:22 | | 05.08.21 | Newcastle Knights - Brisbane Broncos | 28:20 |
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