The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Wests Tigers 28%
Draw 4.3%
New Zealand Warriors 67.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.5%
4.1%
62.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
4.3%
59.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wests Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wests Tigers's form might have worsened.
New Zealand Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New Zealand Warriors's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wests Tigers than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wests Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Zealand Warriors than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New Zealand Warriors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
0%
66.7%
Wests Tigers - New Zealand Warriors Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Wests will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). New Zealand will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 20:27
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bula J.
1. Tuaupiki T.
2. Turuva S.
2. Nicoll-Klokstad C.
3. Makasini H.
3. Leiataua A.
4. To'a S.
4. Pompey A.
5. Skelton J.
5. Khan-Pereira A.
6. Luai J. (C)
6. Harris-Tavita C.
7. Doueihi A.
7. Martin T.
8. May T.
8. Fisher-Harris J. (C)
9. Lanyon J.
9. Egan W.
10. Afoa B.
10. Stowers-Smith T.
11. Fainu S.
11. Halasima L.
12. Fainu S.
12. Laban J.
13. Twal A.
13. Clark E.
Substitutes
14. Fainu L.
14. Healey S.
15. Pole F.
15. Ieremia-Toeava E.
16. Seyfarth A.
16. Vaimauga D.
17. Sukkar T.
17. Niukore M.
18. Tavana F.
18. Metcalf L.
22. Haywood J.
21. Laulili'i L.
Coaches
. Marshall B.
. Webster A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (6 - 14)
3', Fisher-Harris J. (Try),
5', Pompey A. (Conversion Goal),
14', Khan-Pereira A. (Try),
16', Pompey A. (Missed Conversion),
17', Leiataua A. (Try),
18', Pompey A. (Missed Conversion),
27', Fainu S. (Try),
28', Doueihi A. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (0 - 18)
50', Khan-Pereira A. (Try),
52', Harris-Tavita C. (Conversion Goal),
53', Egan W. (Try),
54', Harris-Tavita C. (Conversion Goal),
75', Healey S. (Try),
76', Harris-Tavita C. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wests won 2.
Recent form of Wests has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
New Zealand has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Wests may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, New Zealand is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wests won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 440:496. (average 22:24.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Wests won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 240:180. (average 26.7:20).