The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 58.1%
Draw 4.2%
South Sydney Rabbitohs 37.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59%
3.9%
37.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.2%
4%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
South Sydney Rabbitohs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Manly Warringah Sea Eagles - South Sydney Rabbitohs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:22
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Faulalo C.
1. Gray J.
2. Saab J.
2. Johnston A.
3. Koula T.
3. Siegwalt L.
4. Garrick R.
4. Graham C.
5. Hopoate L.
5. Kosi E.
6. Brooks L.
6. Walker C.
7. Fogarty J.
7. Ward A.
8. Paseka T.
8. Tatola T.
9. Simpkin J.
9. Smith B.
10. Hetherington K.
10. Koloamatangi K.
11. Olakau'atu H.
11. Fifita D.
12. Trbojevic B.
12. Duncan T.
13. Trbojevic J. (C)
13. Murray C. (C)
Substitutes
14. Wakeham B.
14. Hubner L.
15. Brown N.
15. Humphries M.
16. Shereb J.
16. Aitken E.
17. Laiafi S.
17. Keppie S.
18. Feledy J.
18. Dufty M.
19. Walsh J.
21. Garlick B.
Coaches
. Foran K.
. Bennett W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (10 - 8)
12', Koloamatangi K. (Try),
14', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
17', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
22', Saab J. (Try),
24', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
29', Hopoate L. (Try),
2nd Half (18 - 6)
50', Faulalo C. (Try),
51', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
56', Trbojevic B. (Try),
57', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
60', Fifita D. (Try),
61', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
73', Saab J. (Try),
74', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 3.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
South Sydney may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Manly-Warringah is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manly-Warringah won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 403:486. (average 20.2:24.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Manly-Warringah won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 149:136. (average 21.3:19.4).
Australia
France
New-zealand
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Faulalo C. 
Johnston A. 
Koula T. 
Kosi E. 
Wakeham B. 
Brown N. 
Aitken E. 
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