The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
North Queensland Cowboys 58.4%
Draw 4.4%
South Sydney Rabbitohs 37.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.4%
3.9%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.6%
3.7%
40.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
North Queensland Cowboys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
South Sydney Rabbitohs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
North Queensland Cowboys - South Sydney Rabbitohs Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:25
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Drinkwater S. (C)
2. Johnston A.
2. Derby R.
3. Siegwalt L.
3. Purdue J.
4. Duncan T.
4. Chester T.
5. Penitani T.
5. Laybutt Z.
6. Walker C. (C)
6. Sutton L.
7. Ward A.
7. Clifford J.
8. Tatola T.
8. Mikaele T.
9. Mamouzelos P.
9. Mahoney R.
10. Keppie S.
10. Lodge M.
11. Aitken E.
11. Luki H.
12. Koloamatangi K.
12. McIntyre S.
13. Elliott A.
13. Taumalolo J.
14. Dufty M.
Substitutes
14. Vailea V.
1. Gray J.
15. Neame G.
15. Hubner L.
17. Hess C.
16. Humphries M.
18. Kerrisk X.
17. Le Blanc L.
19. King E.
18. Fletcher T.
20. Greig W.
19. Kosi E.
Coaches
. Payten T.
. Bennett W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (18 - 6)
5', Laybutt Z. (Try),
15', Penitani T. (Try),
20', Siegwalt L. (Penalty Goal),
26', Mahoney R. (Try),
28', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
35', Chester T. (Try),
36', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
40', Clifford J. (Penalty Goal),
2nd Half (12 - 12)
56', Penitani T. (Try),
57', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
61', Sutton L. (Try),
63', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
68', Luki H. (Try),
70', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
77', Johnston A. (Try),
77', Siegwalt L. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 3.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
North Queensland might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 460:369. (average 23:18.5).
Including home matches between the teams, North Queensland won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 218:174. (average 24.2:19.3).
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Drinkwater S. (C) 
Johnston A. 
Derby R. 
Ward A. 
Tatola T. 
Mamouzelos P. 
Aitken E. 
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