Match Info
NRL - Round 10Date: 8 May 2026, FridayLocation: Queensland Country Bank Stadium (Townsville)Referee: Kennedy L. (Nzl)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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North Queensland Cowboys |
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Parramatta Eels |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.32 |
26 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.38 |
20 |
3.4 |
|
 |
1.31 |
22.79 |
3.72 |
 Watch |
 |
1.29 |
26 |
3.5 |
|
 |
1.34 |
20 |
3.43 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.33 ↓
(1.42) |
22.96 ↓
(25.5) |
3.51 ↑
(2.98) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 54.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
North Queensland Cowboys
69.6% | Draw
4% | Parramatta Eels
26.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:North Queensland Cowboys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Parramatta Eels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Queensland Cowboys than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with North Queensland Cowboys that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parramatta Eels than the current prediction. (+6.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Parramatta Eels could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.North Queensland Cowboys - Parramatta Eels Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:22 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
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1.  Drinkwater S.
| 1. Papalii J.
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2. Burns B.
| 2. Kelly B.
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3. Purdue J.
| 3. Samrani J.
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4. Chester T.
| 4. Russell S.
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5. Laybutt Z.
| 5. Addo-Carr J.
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6. Clifford J.
| 6. Volkman R.
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7. Dearden T.
| 7. Moses M.
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9. Mahoney R.
| 8.  Moretti L.
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10.  Taumalolo J.
| 9. Da Silva T.
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11. Luki H.
| 11.  Tuilagi K.
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12. McIntyre S.
| 12.  Williams J.
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13. Cotter R.
| 13. De Belin J.
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16.  Mikaele T.
| 17. Guymer C.
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| Substitutes |
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8. Hess C.
| 10. Paulo J.
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14. Luke S.
| 14. Walker D.
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15. Neame G.
| 15. Pryke S.
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17. Lodge M.
| 16. Mataele T.
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20. O'Donnell K.
| 18. Twidle A.
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22. Derby R.
| 19. Brown T.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Payten T.
| . Ryles J.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (12 - 10)
- 3', Kelly B. (Try),
- 4', Moses M. (Missed Conversion),
- 10', Luki H. (Try),
- 11', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Da Silva T. (Try),
- 23', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
- 29', Clifford J. (Try),
- 30', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (18 - 20)
- 48', Addo-Carr J. (Try),
- 50', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
- 51', Purdue J. (Try),
- 53', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
- 56', Mahoney R. (Try),
- 57', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
- 60', Addo-Carr J. (Try),
- 61', Moses M. (Conversion Goal),
- 68', Chester T. (Try),
- 69', Clifford J. (Conversion Goal),
- 75', Samrani J. (Try),
- 76', Moses M. (Missed Conversion),
- 77', Papalii J. (Try),
- 78', Moses M. (Missed Conversion),
- Extra Time (0 - 3)
- 81', Moses M. (Drop Goal),
- 82', Volkman R. (Penalty Goal),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 15).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 1.North Queensland is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Parramatta's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Recently, Parramatta has had a series of home games. In this match, North Queensland is seen as the favorite.We predict that North Queensland will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Queensland won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 474:374. (average 23.7:18.7).Including home matches between the teams, North Queensland won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 227:116. (average 28.4:14.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 10.08.25 | Parramatta Eels - North Queensland Cowboys | 19:18 | | 13.04.24 | Parramatta Eels - North Queensland Cowboys | 27:20 | | 22.07.23 | North Queensland Cowboys - Parramatta Eels | 24:16 | | 26.05.23 | Parramatta Eels - North Queensland Cowboys | 24:16 | | 23.09.22 | North Queensland Cowboys - Parramatta Eels | 20:24 | | 30.04.22 | Parramatta Eels - North Queensland Cowboys | 4:35 | | 21.08.21 | Parramatta Eels - North Queensland Cowboys | 32:16 |
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