Match Info
NRL - Round 10Date: 10 May 2026, SundayLocation: GIO Stadium (Canberra)Referee: Klein A. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 |
 Germany | Sportdigital1+ |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ |
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Canberra Raiders |
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Penrith Panthers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.5 |
26 |
1.32 |
|
 |
3.4 |
20 |
1.4 |
|
 |
3.72 |
22.79 |
1.31 |
 Watch |
 |
3.7 |
26 |
1.3 |
|
 |
3.78 |
20 |
1.3 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.62 ↑
(3.42) |
22.96 ↓
(25.75) |
1.33 ↓
(1.33) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
- The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Canberra Raiders
25.7% | Draw
4.1% | Penrith Panthers
70.2% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Canberra Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penrith Panthers than the current prediction. (-0.2%)Canberra Raiders - Penrith Panthers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 21:30 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Weekes K.
| 1. Edwards D.
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2. Tamale S.
| 2. Jenkins T.
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3.  Kris S.
| 3. Alamoti P.
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4. Timoko M.
| 4. McLean C.
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5. Stuart J.
| 5.  To'o B.
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6. Strange E.
| 6. Talagi B.
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7. Sanders E.
| 7. Cleary N.
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8. Horsburgh C.
| 8. Leota M.
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9. Starling T.
| 9. Lussick F.
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10. Tapine J.
| 10. Smith L.
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11. Young H.
| 11. Papali'i I.
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12. Sasagi S.
| 12. Garner L.
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17.  Smithies M.
| 13. Yeo I.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
13. Brailey J.
| 14. Cole J.
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14. Pattie O.
| 15. Sorensen S.
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15. Laurie D.
| 16. Henry L.
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16. Mariota A.
| 17. Tago I.
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18. Stewart C.
| 18. Phillips B.
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19. Uta J.
| 19. Scott B.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Stuart R.
| . Cleary I.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (12 - 18)
- 5', Talagi B. (Try),
- 7', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 10', Sanders E. (Try),
- 11', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
- 18', Talagi B. (Try),
- 19', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 24', Kris S. (Try),
- 25', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
- 33', McLean C. (Try),
- 35', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 40', Sanders E. (Missed Penalty),
- 2nd Half (6 - 12)
- 49', Weekes K. (Try),
- 51', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
- 52', Cleary N. (Try),
- 54', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
- 58', Phillips B. (Try),
- 60', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 3.Canberra has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).Penrith is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Canberra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Canberra has had a series of away games. In this match, Penrith is considered a favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 423:487. (average 21.2:24.4).Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 220:236. (average 22:23.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 22.08.25 | Penrith Panthers - Canberra Raiders | 16:20 OT | | 08.02.25 | Penrith Panthers - Canberra Raiders | 16:22 | | 24.08.24 | Canberra Raiders - Penrith Panthers | 22:18 | | 31.03.23 | Canberra Raiders - Penrith Panthers | 12:53 | | 06.08.22 | Canberra Raiders - Penrith Panthers | 6:26 | | 24.04.22 | Penrith Panthers - Canberra Raiders | 36:6 | | 09.04.21 | Penrith Panthers - Canberra Raiders | 30:10 |
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