Match Info NRL - Round 9 Date : 3 May 2026, SundayLocation : CommBank Stadium (Sydney)Referee : Raymond W. (Aus)Where to Watch on TV : Australia Foxtel Now , Kayo Sports , NRL France beIN Connect , beIN Sports 3 Germany Magenta Sport , Sportdigital1+ New-zealand SKY Go NZ
Penrith Panthers
Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles
1
X
2
1.17
26
5.5
1.22
22
5
1.18
27.67
5.27
1.15
34
5.5
1.2
26
4.82
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.18 ↓ (1.25 )
27.13 ↑ (26.25 )
5.22 ↑ (4.17 )
The most likely Over/Under: 50.50 The most likely Handicap: 1 (-15) The best margin for this event is 6.5% , offered by #Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability Penrith Panthers 78.7%Draw 3.4%Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 17.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities: Penrith Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%) Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%) Penrith Panthers - Manly Warringah Sea Eagles Predictions Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:18 #ad
Lineups Starting Lineups 1. Edwards D. 1. Koula T. 2. Jenkins T. 2. Saab J. 3. Alamoti P. 3. Faulalo C. 4. McLean C. 4. Garrick R. 5. To'o B. 5. Hopoate L. 6. Talagi B. 6. Brooks L. 7. Cleary N. (C) 8. Paseka T. 8. Leota M. 9. Wakeham B. 9. Lussick F. 10. Hetherington K. 10. Smith L. 11. Olakau'atu H. 11. Papali'i I. 12. Trbojevic B. 12. Garner L. 13. Trbojevic J. (C) 13. Yeo I. 20. Walsh J. Substitutes 14. Cogger J. 14. Simpkin J. 15. Sorensen S. 15. Brown N. 16. Going K. 16. Bullemor E. 17. Phillips B. 17. Taukeiaho S. 18. Tago I. 18. Wilson B. 21. Scott B. 19. Shereb J. Coaches . Cleary I. . Foran K.
Key Events of the Match 1st Half (12 - 6)5', Faulalo C. (Try) , 6', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal) , 11', Talagi B. (Try) , 13', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal) , 38', To'o B. (Try) , 39', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal) , 2nd Half (6 - 10)45', Bullemor E. (Try) , 47', Garrick R. (Conversion Goal) , 53', Hopoate L. (Try) , 53', Garrick R. (Missed Conversion) , 61', Tago I. (Try) , 63', Cleary N. (Conversion Goal) ,
Preview This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )). In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 3 . Now, both teams are in good form. In this match, Penrith is seen as the favorite. In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Penrith won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 513:318 . (average 25.7:15.9 ). Including home matches between the teams, Penrith won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 241:138 . (average 24.1:13.8 ).
Last Results with these Odds Penrith Panthers - the odds 1.25 are the expected chance of winning is 74.23% , but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Form ✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head Australian NRL 26.04.25 Penrith Panthers - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 10:26 21.02.25 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Penrith Panthers 22:38 09.06.24 Penrith Panthers - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 32:22 06.04.24 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Penrith Panthers 32:18 10.08.23 Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - Penrith Panthers 12:24 08.04.23 Penrith Panthers - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 44:12 10.03.22 Penrith Panthers - Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles 28:6