Match Info

NRL - Round 20

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Location: GIO Stadium (Canberra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Fox League, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports, NRL TV
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ


	Canberra Raiders		South Sydney Rabbitohs

	1	X	2
	1.83	23	2
	1.85	18	2.05
	1.88	17.87	2.05	Watch
	1.91		1.91	Watch
	1.9	20	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.73)	15.77 ↓ (24.93)	2 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Canberra Raiders
48.6%

Draw
5.8%

South Sydney Rabbitohs
45.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.9%

3.7%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

4.1%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Canberra Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Canberra Raiders's form might have worsened.

South Sydney Rabbitohs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canberra Raiders than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Sydney Rabbitohs than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Canberra Raiders - South Sydney Rabbitohs Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Canberra will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:24

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weekes K.	1. Dufty M.
2. Stuart J.	2. Johnston A.
3. Sasagi S.	3. Duncan T.
4. Timoko M.	4. Wighton J.
5. Savage X.	5. Graham C.
6. Strange E.	6. Walker C.
7. Sanders E.	7. Ward A.
9. Pattie O.	8. Tatola T.
10. Tapine J.	9. Smith B.
11. Young H.	10. Koloamatangi K.
12. Martin N.	11. Fifita D.
13. Hosking Z.	12. Aitken E.
15. Mariota A.	13. Murray C.
Substitutes
8. Horsburgh C.	14. Gray J.
14. Starling T.	15. Hubner L.
16. Papalii J.	16. Le Blanc L.
17. Laurie D.	17. Humphreys J.
18. Tamale S.	18. Siegwalt L.
19. Smithies M.	20. Radel J.
Coaches
. Stuart R.	. Bennett W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (28 - 6)
3', Pattie O. (Try),
5', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
10', Young H. (Try),
11', Sanders E. (Missed Conversion),
15', Ward A. (Try),
16', Ward A. (Conversion Goal),
20', Weekes K. (Try),
22', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
25', Martin N. (Try),
27', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
28', Weekes K. (Try),
29', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (6 - 18)
47', Johnston A. (Try),
49', Ward A. (Conversion Goal),
50', Murray C. (Try),
52', Ward A. (Conversion Goal),
58', Stuart J. (Try),
60', Sanders E. (Conversion Goal),
66', Walker C. (Try),
67', Ward A. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 5.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Canberra won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 486:429. (average 24.3:21.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Canberra won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 191:154. (average 21.2:17.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Canberra Raiders
Australian NRL
11.07.26	Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs - Canberra Raiders	16:40 ✺
28.06.26	Canberra Raiders - St. George Illawarra Dragons	24:16 ✺
21.06.26	Melbourne Storm - Canberra Raiders	42:20 ✺
13.06.26	Parramatta Eels - Canberra Raiders	15:12 ✺
05.06.26	Canberra Raiders - Sydney Roosters	0:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLLL
- South Sydney Rabbitohs
Australian NRL
12.07.26	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Newcastle Knights	26:24 ✺
03.07.26	Penrith Panthers - South Sydney Rabbitohs	36:14 ✺
25.06.26	Parramatta Eels - South Sydney Rabbitohs	12:32 ✺
11.06.26	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Brisbane Broncos	48:6 ✺
04.06.26	Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles - South Sydney Rabbitohs	28:14 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NRL
11.04.26	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Canberra Raiders	34:36
08.06.25	Canberra Raiders - South Sydney Rabbitohs	36:12
28.07.24	Canberra Raiders - South Sydney Rabbitohs	32:12
27.05.23	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Canberra Raiders	26:33
22.05.22	South Sydney Rabbitohs - Canberra Raiders	12:32
29.04.21	Canberra Raiders - South Sydney Rabbitohs	20:34
25.07.20	Canberra Raiders - South Sydney Rabbitohs	18:12

Canberra Raiders - South Sydney Rabbitohs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide