Match Info
Date: 17 July 2026, Friday
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Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks |
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Newcastle Knights |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.35 |
26 |
3.3 |
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 |
1.38 |
18 |
3.3 |
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1.4 |
20.8 |
3.2 |
 Watch |
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1.40 |
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2.88 |
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1.4 |
23 |
3.1 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.67) |
17.56 ↓
(24.83) |
3.16 ↑
(2.3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 47.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
- The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks
65.9% | Draw
5.2% | Newcastle Knights
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks's performance.Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle Knights might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+13.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle Knights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:21 
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Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cronulla-Sutherland won 3.Cronulla-Sutherland is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).Newcastle's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Recently, Cronulla-Sutherland has had a series of away games. In this match, Cronulla-Sutherland is seen as the favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cronulla-Sutherland won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 540:346. (average 27:17.3).Including home matches between the teams, Cronulla-Sutherland won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 210:90. (average 26.3:11.3).
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Outrights of Australian NRL for now
Cronulla Sharks: 7.28% Newcastle Knights: 5.28%
Standings
Main | | Pl | W | L | | Pts |
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| 4 | Cronulla Sharks | 16 | 10 | 6 | 468:345 | 26 |
| 5 | Newcastle Knights | 17 | 11 | 6 | 441:402 | 26 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 31.08.25 | Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Newcastle Knights | 40:16 | | 20.04.25 | Newcastle Knights - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks | 14:34 | | 18.08.24 | Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Newcastle Knights | 19:18 OT | | 16.02.24 | Newcastle Knights - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks | 44:18 | | 27.08.23 | Newcastle Knights - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks | 32:6 | | 20.05.23 | Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks - Newcastle Knights | 26:6 | | 10.02.23 | Newcastle Knights - Cronulla-Sutherland Sharks | 16:28 |
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