Match Info
NRL - Round 16Date: 21 June 2025, SaturdayLocation: HBF Park (Perth)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
 Australia | Fox League, NRL |
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Dolphins |
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Newcastle Knights |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.28 |
26 |
4 |
|
 |
1.28 |
21 |
3.75 |
|
 |
|
|
|
 Watch |
 |
1.26 |
23 |
4.2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.46) |
23.33 ↓
(26) |
3.98 ↑
(2.81) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 46.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)
- The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dolphins
72.8% | Draw
4% | Newcastle Knights
23.3% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Dolphins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Dolphins's performance.Newcastle Knights has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle Knights might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dolphins than the current prediction. (-13.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dolphins that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Knights than the current prediction. (+12%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle Knights could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Dolphins - Newcastle Knights Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:17 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  Tabuai-Fidow H.
| 1.  Ponga K. (C)
|
2.  Isaako J.
| 2.  Young D.
|
3. Averillo J.
| 3. Gagai D.
|
4. Farnworth H.
| 4. Best B.
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5. Bostock J.
| 6. Sharpe F.
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6. Nikorima K.
| 7. Cogger J.
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7.  Katoa I. (C)
| 8. Frizell T.
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8. Molo F.
| 9. Brailey J.
|
9. Marshall-King J.
| 10. Croker M.
|
11. Finefeuiaki K.
| 11. Lucas D.
|
12. Keeley O.
| 12. Pearce-Paul K.
|
13.  Donoghoe K.
| 13. Crossland P.
|
16. Stone R.
| 18. Schiller J.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
10. Nicholls M.
| 14. Jones B.
|
14. Graham H.
| 15. Cant T.
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15. Lemuelu C.
| 16. McEwen J.
|
18. O'Sullivan S.
| 17. Salesa-Leaumoana E.
|
20. Tawha A.
| 19. Hastings J.
|
| Coaches |
|---|
. Woolf K.
| . O'Brien A.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (10 - 16)
- 5', Sharpe F. (Try),
- 6', Gagai D. (Conversion Goal),
- 11', Nikorima K. (Try),
- 13', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
- 19', Best B. (Try),
- 20', Gagai D. (Conversion Goal),
- 25', Young D. (Try),
- 26', Gagai D. (Missed Conversion),
- 32', Lemuelu C. (Try),
- 33', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 10)
- 54', Isaako J. (Try),
- 56', Isaako J. (Missed Conversion),
- 60', Tabuai-Fidow H. (Try),
- 62', Isaako J. (Conversion Goal),
- 64', Best B. (Try),
- 66', Gagai D. (Missed Conversion),
- 79', Jones B. (Try),
- 80', Gagai D. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NRL (Play Offs: ) and 15).Dolphins is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Newcastle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, Dolphins is the team to beat.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dolphins won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 60:88. (average 15:22).Including home matches between the teams, Dolphins won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:48. (average 21:24).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NRL | | | 13.03.25 | Newcastle Knights - Dolphins | 26:12 | | 08.09.24 | Newcastle Knights - Dolphins | 14:6 | | 28.04.24 | Dolphins - Newcastle Knights | 14:18 | | 05.08.23 | Dolphins - Newcastle Knights | 28:30 |
|
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